Daily, weekly, and monthly dynamics of crowding in emergency department of university clinical centre Serbia: a one-year analysis of NEDOCS score.

IF 1.9 Q2 EMERGENCY MEDICINE
Slobodan Dzelebdzic, Bosiljka Djikanovic, Zoran Bukumiric, Natasa Maksimovic, Dusan Micic, Zorana Ana Rakočević, Vasa Curcin, Aleksandar Medarevic
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background: Emergency department (ED) crowding is increasingly recognized as a global public health issue, while evidences from South-East Europe remain limited. The aim of this study was to characterize daily, annual, weekly, and monthly patterns of ED crowding in a high-volume tertiary hospital.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational study of ED crowding in the largest ED in Serbia over 360 consecutive days (8,640 one-hour intervals). Crowding was measured hourly using the National Emergency Department Overcrowding Score (NEDOCS), derived from routinely collected data from health information system and expressed on a 0-200 scale, later grouped into six standard categories. Descriptive analyses assessed annual distribution, circadian and weekly variation, seasonal trends, and patient age structure. Between-group differences in NEDOCS scores were assessed using the Kruskal-Wallis test. Effect sizes were estimated using eta-squared (η²).

Results: The majority of patients in ED (43.14%) were older than 60. Almost 90% of patients (89.5%) waited up to 4 h for the first check up by doctor. The median annual NEDOCS score was 43.87 (IQR 51.92 ), corresponding to a "busy" operational state. Level 2 ("busy") occurred in 39.4% of hourly intervals and level 1 ("not busy") in 29.5%, while overcrowding (levels 4-6) was observed in 5.6% of intervals. Crowding was significantly higher during daytime than nighttime hours (p < 0.001), with a pronounced morning peak. Weekday crowding exceeded weekend levels, peaking on Tuesdays. Seasonal variation showed higher crowding during winter and transitional months.

Conclusions: ED crowding demonstrates predictable temporal patterns that mirror broader population health dynamics. Routine high-frequency monitoring may inform strategic staffing, adaptive capacity planning, and governance mechanisms aimed at strengthening emergency care performance and system resilience.

塞尔维亚大学临床中心急诊科每日、每周和每月的拥挤动态:NEDOCS评分的一年分析
背景:急诊科(ED)拥挤日益被认为是一个全球性的公共卫生问题,而来自东南欧的证据仍然有限。本研究的目的是描述每日、每年、每周和每月在大容量三级医院急诊科拥挤的模式。方法:我们对塞尔维亚最大的急诊科进行了连续360天(8640个一小时间隔)的急诊科拥挤情况的回顾性观察研究。使用国家急诊科过度拥挤评分(NEDOCS)每小时测量一次拥挤程度,该评分来自卫生信息系统的常规收集数据,并以0-200的等级表示,后来分为六个标准类别。描述性分析评估了年度分布、昼夜和每周变化、季节性趋势和患者年龄结构。使用Kruskal-Wallis测试评估NEDOCS评分的组间差异。效应量用eta-squared (η²)估计。结果:ED患者以60岁以上老年人居多(43.14%)。近90%的患者(89.5%)等待医生的第一次检查长达4小时。年度NEDOCS得分中位数为43.87 (IQR为51.92),对应于“繁忙”的运营状态。第2级(“繁忙”)出现在39.4%的小时间隔中,第1级(“不忙”)出现在29.5%的小时间隔中,而过度拥挤(4-6级)出现在5.6%的小时间隔中。结论:ED拥挤表现出可预测的时间模式,反映了更广泛的人群健康动态。常规高频监测可以为战略人员配置、适应性能力规划和治理机制提供信息,旨在加强急诊护理绩效和系统弹性。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
63
审稿时长
13 weeks
期刊介绍: The aim of the journal is to bring to light the various clinical advancements and research developments attained over the world and thus help the specialty forge ahead. It is directed towards physicians and medical personnel undergoing training or working within the field of Emergency Medicine. Medical students who are interested in pursuing a career in Emergency Medicine will also benefit from the journal. This is particularly useful for trainees in countries where the specialty is still in its infancy. Disciplines covered will include interesting clinical cases, the latest evidence-based practice and research developments in Emergency medicine including emergency pediatrics.
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