{"title":"NUTRISCORE: A Novel Nutrition-Based Nomogram to Predict Severe Neutropenia After Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Gastric Cancer.","authors":"Chun Gao, Li Zhu, Yi Xin Tong, Sheng Zhang","doi":"10.1177/15347354261447851","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>To develop and validate a clinically applicable nomogram (NUTRISCORE) predicting severe neutropenia (Grade 3/4) across cycles 2 to 8 of adjuvant chemotherapy in gastric cancer.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective cohort study analyzed 391 patients receiving postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (CAPEOX/XELOX/SOX) following curative laparoscopic D2 gastrectomy. Cohorts were stratified into derivation (n = 318; 1518 cycles) and validation (n = 73; 356 cycles) sets. Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE) were used to account for within-patient correlation of multiple cycles. Multivariable logistic regression identified independent predictors, with subsequent nomogram construction using R. Model performance was quantified through AUC-ROC and decision curve analysis (DCA).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Four predictors emerged: age > 60 years (OR = 2.1, <i>P</i> < .01), prealbumin ≤ 180 mg/L (OR = 3.4, <i>P</i> = .002), PNI < 45 (OR = 2.8, <i>P</i> = .008), and prior cycle neutropenia (OR =4.7, <i>P</i> < .001). The nomogram achieved AUCs of 0.825 (95% CI 0.789-0.860) and 0.810 (0.783-0.835) in derivation and validation cohorts, with DCA confirming clinical utility across threshold probabilities (4%-65% in derivation, 3%-63% in validation), supporting its use for guiding G-CSF prophylaxis at clinically relevant risk thresholds (>15%).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>We establish a nutrition-centric predictive tool for severe neutropenia, demonstrating robust accuracy in stratifying chemotherapy toxicity risk. This model directly informs personalized prophylactic strategies, warranting prospective multicenter validation.</p>","PeriodicalId":13734,"journal":{"name":"Integrative Cancer Therapies","volume":"25 ","pages":"15347354261447851"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1000,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13332284/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Integrative Cancer Therapies","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1177/15347354261447851","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/7/3 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"INTEGRATIVE & COMPLEMENTARY MEDICINE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: To develop and validate a clinically applicable nomogram (NUTRISCORE) predicting severe neutropenia (Grade 3/4) across cycles 2 to 8 of adjuvant chemotherapy in gastric cancer.
Methods: This retrospective cohort study analyzed 391 patients receiving postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (CAPEOX/XELOX/SOX) following curative laparoscopic D2 gastrectomy. Cohorts were stratified into derivation (n = 318; 1518 cycles) and validation (n = 73; 356 cycles) sets. Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE) were used to account for within-patient correlation of multiple cycles. Multivariable logistic regression identified independent predictors, with subsequent nomogram construction using R. Model performance was quantified through AUC-ROC and decision curve analysis (DCA).
Results: Four predictors emerged: age > 60 years (OR = 2.1, P < .01), prealbumin ≤ 180 mg/L (OR = 3.4, P = .002), PNI < 45 (OR = 2.8, P = .008), and prior cycle neutropenia (OR =4.7, P < .001). The nomogram achieved AUCs of 0.825 (95% CI 0.789-0.860) and 0.810 (0.783-0.835) in derivation and validation cohorts, with DCA confirming clinical utility across threshold probabilities (4%-65% in derivation, 3%-63% in validation), supporting its use for guiding G-CSF prophylaxis at clinically relevant risk thresholds (>15%).
Conclusions: We establish a nutrition-centric predictive tool for severe neutropenia, demonstrating robust accuracy in stratifying chemotherapy toxicity risk. This model directly informs personalized prophylactic strategies, warranting prospective multicenter validation.
期刊介绍:
ICT is the first journal to spearhead and focus on a new and growing movement in cancer treatment. The journal emphasizes scientific understanding of alternative medicine and traditional medicine therapies, and their responsible integration with conventional health care. Integrative care includes therapeutic interventions in diet, lifestyle, exercise, stress care, and nutritional supplements, as well as experimental vaccines, chrono-chemotherapy, and other advanced treatments. Contributors are leading oncologists, researchers, nurses, and health-care professionals.