{"title":"Long-term effectiveness of endoscopic and stool-based colorectal cancer screening strategies: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.","authors":"Motoki Kaneko, Atsushi Sakuraba","doi":"10.1177/17562848261454186","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The population impact of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening depends on test performance and uptake, yet the comparative effectiveness of colonoscopy (CS), flexible sigmoidoscopy (FS), fecal immunochemical test (FIT), and guaiac-based fecal occult blood test (gFOBT) remains uncertain.</p><p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To compare the 10-year effects of CS, FS, FIT, and gFOBT on CRC incidence, CRC mortality, and all-cause mortality.</p><p><strong>Design: </strong>A systematic review and network meta-analysis.</p><p><strong>Data sources and methods: </strong>We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane CENTRAL from inception to June 13, 2025, for randomized controlled trials enrolling average-risk adults comparing CS, FS, FIT, or gFOBT with no screening (NS) or each other. Risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were synthesized using a frequentist random-effects model. Intention-to-treat (ITT) analyses estimated invitation-based population effectiveness, with exploratory per-protocol (PP) analyses serving as a complementary assessment for screening completers (high risk of bias and very low certainty). The sparse network lacked closed loops, precluding formal inconsistency assessment.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In ITT analyses, CS (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.72-0.96) and FS (0.78, 0.74-0.83), but not FIT (limited evidence) or gFOBT, reduced CRC incidence versus NS. For CRC mortality, FS (0.74, 0.67-0.83) and gFOBT (0.87, 0.79-0.95), but not CS or FIT, reduced risk. No strategy reduced all-cause mortality. In exploratory PP analyses, CS (0.78, 0.62-0.99) and FS (0.72, 0.66-0.79) reduced CRC incidence. For CRC mortality, CS (0.52, 0.31-0.85), FS (0.58, 0.49-0.70), and gFOBT (0.71, 0.61-0.82) reduced risk.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>CS reduced CRC incidence in ITT analyses but showed limited population-level effectiveness when uptake was low. FS reduced CRC incidence and mortality in ITT analyses, and gFOBT reduced CRC mortality. Screening strategies should be selected based on test characteristics, real-world participation, and healthcare capacity. PP findings were exploratory and should not be used in isolation to guide recommendations.</p><p><strong>Trial registration: </strong>PROSPERO registration number CRD420251127511.</p>","PeriodicalId":48770,"journal":{"name":"Therapeutic Advances in Gastroenterology","volume":"19 ","pages":"17562848261454186"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8000,"publicationDate":"2026-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13241687/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Therapeutic Advances in Gastroenterology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1177/17562848261454186","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/1/1 0:00:00","PubModel":"eCollection","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: The population impact of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening depends on test performance and uptake, yet the comparative effectiveness of colonoscopy (CS), flexible sigmoidoscopy (FS), fecal immunochemical test (FIT), and guaiac-based fecal occult blood test (gFOBT) remains uncertain.
Objectives: To compare the 10-year effects of CS, FS, FIT, and gFOBT on CRC incidence, CRC mortality, and all-cause mortality.
Design: A systematic review and network meta-analysis.
Data sources and methods: We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane CENTRAL from inception to June 13, 2025, for randomized controlled trials enrolling average-risk adults comparing CS, FS, FIT, or gFOBT with no screening (NS) or each other. Risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were synthesized using a frequentist random-effects model. Intention-to-treat (ITT) analyses estimated invitation-based population effectiveness, with exploratory per-protocol (PP) analyses serving as a complementary assessment for screening completers (high risk of bias and very low certainty). The sparse network lacked closed loops, precluding formal inconsistency assessment.
Results: In ITT analyses, CS (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.72-0.96) and FS (0.78, 0.74-0.83), but not FIT (limited evidence) or gFOBT, reduced CRC incidence versus NS. For CRC mortality, FS (0.74, 0.67-0.83) and gFOBT (0.87, 0.79-0.95), but not CS or FIT, reduced risk. No strategy reduced all-cause mortality. In exploratory PP analyses, CS (0.78, 0.62-0.99) and FS (0.72, 0.66-0.79) reduced CRC incidence. For CRC mortality, CS (0.52, 0.31-0.85), FS (0.58, 0.49-0.70), and gFOBT (0.71, 0.61-0.82) reduced risk.
Conclusion: CS reduced CRC incidence in ITT analyses but showed limited population-level effectiveness when uptake was low. FS reduced CRC incidence and mortality in ITT analyses, and gFOBT reduced CRC mortality. Screening strategies should be selected based on test characteristics, real-world participation, and healthcare capacity. PP findings were exploratory and should not be used in isolation to guide recommendations.
Trial registration: PROSPERO registration number CRD420251127511.
期刊介绍:
Therapeutic Advances in Gastroenterology is an open access journal which delivers the highest quality peer-reviewed original research articles, reviews, and scholarly comment on pioneering efforts and innovative studies in the medical treatment of gastrointestinal and hepatic disorders. The journal has a strong clinical and pharmacological focus and is aimed at an international audience of clinicians and researchers in gastroenterology and related disciplines, providing an online forum for rapid dissemination of recent research and perspectives in this area.
The editors welcome original research articles across all areas of gastroenterology and hepatology.
The journal publishes original research articles and review articles primarily. Original research manuscripts may include laboratory, animal or human/clinical studies – all phases. Letters to the Editor and Case Reports will also be considered.