Predictors of conversion to psychosis and mortality in first-episode substance-induced psychosis: a nationwide register-based study in South Korea.

IF 4.1 Q2 PSYCHIATRY
Yan-Hong Piao, Thi-Hung Le, Ling Li, Ariana Setiani, Soyolsaikhan Odkhuu, Woo-Sung Kim, Shahida Nazir, Yong-Suk Jang, Young-Chul Chung
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Abstract

Objective: Substance-induced psychosis (SIP) is associated with a substantial risk of progression to schizophrenia spectrum disorders (SSD), bipolar disorder (BD), and premature mortality. However, evidence from Asia, particularly South Korea (SK), remains limited.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective, nationwide, population-based cohort study using the Korean National Health Insurance Claims Database (2003-2012) with follow-up through 2017. Individuals aged 18-60 years with a first episode of SIP (FE-SIP) were identified after excluding those with ICD-10 codes for substance use disorders (SUD; F10-F19) and other neuropsychiatric disorders (F00-F09, F20-F29, F30.x, F31.x, F32.3, or F33.3) during a 1-year washout. Incidence was estimated using national census data. Conversion to first-episode psychosis (FEP-SSD or -BD) was examined using cumulative incidence function and Cox regression. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated against the general population and a SUD reference cohort.

Results: A total of 2244 individuals with FE-SIP were identified. The average annual incidence proportion was 0.7 per 100,000, peaking in 2005. Over a median follow-up of 9.3 years, 655 individuals (33.2%) converted to FEP, with cumulative conversion rates of 23.3% at 5 years, and 28.8% at 10 years. Younger age, female sex, disability, longer initial hospitalization, and use of other stimulants were significant predictors of conversion. All-cause mortality was markedly elevated (SMR 33.3 vs general population; SMR 1.49 vs SUD cohort), particularly among young men.

Conclusions: Despite a low incidence of FE-SIP in SK, the risks of conversion to FE-SSD/FE-BD and premature mortality are substantial. Findings underscore the need for early detection, psychoeducation, and integrated care tailored to high-risk individuals, especially within the first two years after diagnosis.

首次发作的物质诱发精神病转化为精神病和死亡率的预测因素:韩国一项基于全国登记的研究。
目的:物质诱导精神病(SIP)与发展为精神分裂症谱系障碍(SSD)、双相情感障碍(BD)和过早死亡的重大风险相关。然而,来自亚洲,特别是韩国(SK)的证据仍然有限。方法:我们使用韩国国民健康保险索赔数据库(2003-2012)进行了一项回顾性的、全国性的、基于人群的队列研究,随访至2017年。排除ICD-10物质使用障碍代码(SUD; F10-F19)和其他神经精神障碍代码(F00-F09、F20-F29、F30)后,确定18-60岁首发SIP (FE-SIP)个体。x, F31。x, F32.3或F33.3)在1年的洗脱期。发病率是根据全国人口普查数据估计的。采用累积发生率函数和Cox回归检测转化为首发精神病(FEP-SSD或-BD)。对一般人群和SUD参考队列计算标准化死亡率(SMRs)。结果:共鉴定出FE-SIP患者2244例。年平均发病率为0.7 / 10万,2005年达到高峰。在中位9.3年的随访中,655人(33.2%)转化为FEP, 5年累计转化率为23.3%,10年累计转化率为28.8%。年龄较小、女性、残疾、初次住院时间较长和使用其他兴奋剂是转化的重要预测因素。全因死亡率明显升高(与一般人群相比,SMR为33.3;与SUD队列相比,SMR为1.49),特别是在年轻男性中。结论:尽管SK患者FE-SIP发生率较低,但转化为FE-SSD/FE-BD和过早死亡的风险很大。研究结果强调了早期发现、心理教育和针对高危人群的综合护理的必要性,特别是在诊断后的头两年。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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