{"title":"Binomial effect size displays and gain-probability: Alternative ways to interpret hierarchical regression findings, with tutorial.","authors":"David Trafimow","doi":"10.1037/met0000839","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Researchers using a hierarchical regression paradigm enter different variables at different steps in the analysis, each time determining ΔR². Although ΔR² is traditional for both zero-order correlation coefficients and multiple correlation coefficients, it is not the only possibility. It is also possible to use binomial effect size displays and gain-probability analyses to interpret zero-order correlation coefficients. However, nobody has explored the possibility of extending these latter advances from zero-order correlation coefficients to the multiple correlation coefficients obtained in successive steps of hierarchical regression analyses. The present exposition and tutorial show that binomial effect size display and gain-probability interpretations can imply different conclusions both from each other and from ΔR². The message is not that a single interpretation should dominate but that multiple interpretations provide researchers with a more thorough and comprehensive understanding of the implications of the data. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2026 APA, all rights reserved).","PeriodicalId":20782,"journal":{"name":"Psychological methods","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":7.8000,"publicationDate":"2026-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Psychological methods","FirstCategoryId":"102","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1037/met0000839","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"心理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Researchers using a hierarchical regression paradigm enter different variables at different steps in the analysis, each time determining ΔR². Although ΔR² is traditional for both zero-order correlation coefficients and multiple correlation coefficients, it is not the only possibility. It is also possible to use binomial effect size displays and gain-probability analyses to interpret zero-order correlation coefficients. However, nobody has explored the possibility of extending these latter advances from zero-order correlation coefficients to the multiple correlation coefficients obtained in successive steps of hierarchical regression analyses. The present exposition and tutorial show that binomial effect size display and gain-probability interpretations can imply different conclusions both from each other and from ΔR². The message is not that a single interpretation should dominate but that multiple interpretations provide researchers with a more thorough and comprehensive understanding of the implications of the data. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2026 APA, all rights reserved).
期刊介绍:
Psychological Methods is devoted to the development and dissemination of methods for collecting, analyzing, understanding, and interpreting psychological data. Its purpose is the dissemination of innovations in research design, measurement, methodology, and quantitative and qualitative analysis to the psychological community; its further purpose is to promote effective communication about related substantive and methodological issues. The audience is expected to be diverse and to include those who develop new procedures, those who are responsible for undergraduate and graduate training in design, measurement, and statistics, as well as those who employ those procedures in research.