{"title":"A U-Shaped Association Between Blood mtDNA Copy Number and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes","authors":"Xinhao Huang, Zijian Tian, Ying Pan, Jia Zhang, Benrui Wu, Shiteng Gao, Yao Cheng, Qi Hu, Jinxiang Ma, Qi Pan, Jian Shao, Kaixin Zhou","doi":"10.2337/dc25-2198","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"OBJECTIVE mtDNA copy number (CN) reflects mitochondrial function, but prior studies have reported inconsistent associations with type 2 diabetes risk, ranging from inverse to positive or null findings. We hypothesized that mtDNA-CN is nonlinearly associated with incident type 2 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS We included 34,835 adults without diabetes from the Kunshan Aging Research With E-Health (KARE) cohort and 289,338 from the UK Biobank (UKB). Associations between blood mtDNA-CN and incident type 2 diabetes were evaluated using Cox proportional hazards and restricted cubic spline models stratified by age. RESULTS A U-shaped association was observed in the KARE cohort (P < 0.001), in which the hazard ratios (95% CIs) across increasing mtDNA-CN quartiles were 1.00 (reference), 0.94 (0.88–1.00), 0.85 (0.79–0.91), and 0.93 (0.87–1.00). In contrast, the UKB cohort exhibited a predominantly inverse linear trend. Age-stratified analyses revealed that this U-shaped association was particularly evident in younger participants (aged <65 years in KARE and <50 years in UKB), indicating elevated diabetes risk at both low and high mtDNA-CN levels. Additionally, mtDNA-CN declined with age in both cohorts, with an accelerated decrease beyond ∼65 years in KARE and ∼50 years in UKB. CONCLUSIONS Blood mtDNA-CN showed a U-shaped association with incident type 2 diabetes in younger individuals.","PeriodicalId":11140,"journal":{"name":"Diabetes Care","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":16.6000,"publicationDate":"2026-03-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Diabetes Care","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2337/dc25-2198","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENDOCRINOLOGY & METABOLISM","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
OBJECTIVE mtDNA copy number (CN) reflects mitochondrial function, but prior studies have reported inconsistent associations with type 2 diabetes risk, ranging from inverse to positive or null findings. We hypothesized that mtDNA-CN is nonlinearly associated with incident type 2 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS We included 34,835 adults without diabetes from the Kunshan Aging Research With E-Health (KARE) cohort and 289,338 from the UK Biobank (UKB). Associations between blood mtDNA-CN and incident type 2 diabetes were evaluated using Cox proportional hazards and restricted cubic spline models stratified by age. RESULTS A U-shaped association was observed in the KARE cohort (P < 0.001), in which the hazard ratios (95% CIs) across increasing mtDNA-CN quartiles were 1.00 (reference), 0.94 (0.88–1.00), 0.85 (0.79–0.91), and 0.93 (0.87–1.00). In contrast, the UKB cohort exhibited a predominantly inverse linear trend. Age-stratified analyses revealed that this U-shaped association was particularly evident in younger participants (aged <65 years in KARE and <50 years in UKB), indicating elevated diabetes risk at both low and high mtDNA-CN levels. Additionally, mtDNA-CN declined with age in both cohorts, with an accelerated decrease beyond ∼65 years in KARE and ∼50 years in UKB. CONCLUSIONS Blood mtDNA-CN showed a U-shaped association with incident type 2 diabetes in younger individuals.
期刊介绍:
The journal's overarching mission can be captured by the simple word "Care," reflecting its commitment to enhancing patient well-being. Diabetes Care aims to support better patient care by addressing the comprehensive needs of healthcare professionals dedicated to managing diabetes.
Diabetes Care serves as a valuable resource for healthcare practitioners, aiming to advance knowledge, foster research, and improve diabetes management. The journal publishes original research across various categories, including Clinical Care, Education, Nutrition, Psychosocial Research, Epidemiology, Health Services Research, Emerging Treatments and Technologies, Pathophysiology, Complications, and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Risk. Additionally, Diabetes Care features ADA statements, consensus reports, review articles, letters to the editor, and health/medical news, appealing to a diverse audience of physicians, researchers, psychologists, educators, and other healthcare professionals.