Photovoltaic modeling of clear sky index correlations at different surface elevation measurement stations at short-measurement scale

Solar Energy Advances Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-24 DOI:10.1016/j.seja.2026.100129
Fernando Venâncio Mucomole , Carlos Augusto Santos Silva , Lourenço Lázaro Magaia
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Abstract

The photovoltaic (PV) strength in a solar-powered system is often characterized by fluctuations due to the intermittent variation of solar energy originating from a central PV area. This can cause significant instability and compromise the longevity of the central PV system, compared to stability. Motivated by the aforementioned research, the objective was to develop a PV model of clear sky correlations at different surface elevation measurement stations at the measurement scale. However, the theoretical model was used to determine the solar energy analysis. Initially, the solar energy sample collected in about 16 locations across Mozambique was processed using time intervals of 1, 10, 15 min, and 1 hour. Then, the clear sky radiation was found, and the clear sky index (Kt*) was calculated. Other data were collected using PVGIS, NOAA, and Meteonorm data from 2004 to 2024. The statistical results show that there is also variation for intervals shorter than one second, consisting of energy reduction due to predictors in 28% of the total incidents. The Kt* increments are progressive, with a median of ∼0.02 and a Kt* in the range of 0.04 to 0.9, exhibiting a high correlation and regression of 0.91 and 0.96 in several states and with the predictors. The region is affected by the increasing atmospheric parameter deposition in concentrations of about 0.20, but there is also a high probability of 92% energy flux potential for PV use, and the same interaction can be used in other locations to assess the potential of available solar energy. This is because the analysis of the solar energy spectrum is close to the theoretically tested sine wave energy distribution for the global population solar energy process.
短尺度下不同地表高程测量站晴空指数相关性的光伏模拟
太阳能供电系统中的光伏(PV)强度通常具有波动的特征,这是由于来自中心光伏区域的太阳能的间歇性变化。与稳定相比,这可能会导致严重的不稳定,并损害中央光伏系统的寿命。在上述研究的推动下,本研究的目标是建立不同地表高程测量站在测量尺度下晴空相关性的PV模型。然而,理论模型是用来确定太阳能分析。最初,在莫桑比克大约16个地点收集的太阳能样本使用1、10、15分钟和1小时的时间间隔进行处理。然后,求出晴空辐射,计算晴空指数Kt*。其他数据收集使用PVGIS, NOAA和Meteonorm数据从2004年到2024年。统计结果表明,在小于一秒的时间间隔内也存在变化,其中28%的事件是由于预测器导致的能量减少。Kt*增量是渐进的,中位数为~ 0.02,Kt*在0.04至0.9的范围内,在几个状态和预测因子中表现出0.91和0.96的高相关性和回归。该区域受到大气参数沉降增加的影响,浓度约为0.20,但PV利用的能量通量潜力也有92%的高概率,并且在其他地点也可以使用相同的相互作用来评估可用太阳能的潜力。这是因为对太阳能光谱的分析接近于全球人口太阳能过程的理论验证的正弦波能量分布。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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