The interventionist approach can address questions related to causes of effects if causes are considered as states instead of interventions.

Observational studies Pub Date : 2025-06-25 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI:10.1353/obs.2025.a963648
Ian Shrier
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Abstract

The interventionist approach to causal inference recommends that observational studies be framed as randomized trials with well-defined interventions to more precisely define the population of interest, exposure comparisons, assignment procedures, follow-up period, and outcomes. However, others suggest causes are not restricted to interventions, and the approach is too restrictive and will limit science. The described examples usually refer to questions about causes of effects/outcomes (rather than effects of interventions), where the 'cause' of interest often represents a mediator variable between an existing or hypothesized intervention. These questions are important because they represent the foundation for improving existing interventions and developing new interventions. In this article, I show how the interventionist approach can be used to try and answer these broader 'causes of effects/outcomes' questions. I use the sufficient casual set framework popularized by Rothman, which considers causes as states rather than interventions. The method is fully consistent with the potential outcomes approach and the need for well-defined counterfactuals. Whereas the effect of an intervention can theoretically be evaluated with an idealized single randomized trial, evaluating the causes of effects/outcomes requires evidence synthesis across multiple studies that each emulate a different target randomized trial. In other words, questions related to the effects of interventions are a special case where all the evidence that needs to be synthesized is available within a single idealized trial. Finally, considering states as causes also provides a transparent way to think about well-defined counterfactuals, and how factors that are commonly referred to as "non-manipulable" such as sex can also be studied as causes.

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如果将原因视为状态而不是干预,干预主义方法可以解决与结果的原因有关的问题。
因果推断的干预主义方法建议将观察性研究定义为具有明确干预措施的随机试验,以更精确地定义感兴趣的人群、暴露比较、分配程序、随访期和结果。然而,其他人认为原因并不局限于干预,而且这种方法过于严格,将限制科学。所描述的例子通常是关于效果/结果的原因(而不是干预的效果)的问题,其中感兴趣的“原因”通常代表现有或假设干预之间的中介变量。这些问题很重要,因为它们是改进现有干预措施和开发新干预措施的基础。在这篇文章中,我将展示如何使用干预主义方法来尝试回答这些更广泛的“因果/结果”问题。我使用由Rothman推广的充分偶然集框架,它将原因视为状态而不是干预。该方法与潜在结果方法和定义良好的反事实的需要完全一致。虽然理论上可以通过理想化的单一随机试验来评估干预措施的效果,但评估效果/结果的原因需要综合多个研究的证据,每个研究都模拟不同的目标随机试验。换句话说,与干预措施效果有关的问题是一种特殊情况,在这种情况下,需要综合的所有证据都可以在单一的理想试验中获得。最后,将状态视为原因也提供了一种透明的方式来思考定义良好的反事实,以及通常被称为“不可操纵”的因素(如性)如何也可以作为原因进行研究。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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