{"title":"Spatial Characteristics and Controlling Factors of Permafrost Deformation in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau Revealed Through InSAR Measurements","authors":"Zhida Xu;Liming Jiang;Zhiping Jiao;Rui Guo;Zhiwei Zhou;Ronggang Huang","doi":"10.1109/JSTARS.2026.3664223","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Accelerated climate warming has intensified permafrost degradation across the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP), profoundly impacting regional hydrological cycles and carbon fluxes. Surface deformation observed in permafrost areas offers valuable insights into the extent of this degradation. However, the spatial patterns and controlling factors of permafrost deformation across the entire QTP remain poorly understood. This study reveals the long-term and seasonal deformation characteristics of permafrost regions across the entire QTP using Sentinel-1 SAR imagery (primarily from 2019 to 2021) through time-series InSAR combined with a permafrost deformation model. Notably, it provides the first plateau-wide characterization of the spatial distribution of seasonal deformation. In addition, the dominant factors controlling both long-term and seasonal deformation were identified with the geographic detector method. The results demonstrate that permafrost regions experience significantly higher surface subsidence rates (−2.46 mm/year) than seasonally frozen areas (−0.54 mm/year). Spatially, ice-rich permafrost regions with lower thermal stability exhibit higher subsidence rates. The average seasonal deformation amplitude in permafrost areas is 3.85 mm, with larger values concentrated in flat basins and areas surrounding lakes and rivers. Moreover, spatial variability of long-term deformation is mainly controlled by solar radiation and precipitation, and both are positively correlated with deformation rates. Slope is the primary driver of spatial variation in seasonal deformation amplitude. These findings highlight the critical role of surface energy, moisture, and terrain in permafrost dynamics. The study demonstrates the potential of integrating time-series InSAR with geospatial analysis to support large-scale permafrost monitoring and estimation of ground-ice meltwater across the QTP.","PeriodicalId":13116,"journal":{"name":"IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing","volume":"19 ","pages":"8005-8017"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3000,"publicationDate":"2026-02-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/stamp/stamp.jsp?tp=&arnumber=11415417","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/11415417/","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Accelerated climate warming has intensified permafrost degradation across the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP), profoundly impacting regional hydrological cycles and carbon fluxes. Surface deformation observed in permafrost areas offers valuable insights into the extent of this degradation. However, the spatial patterns and controlling factors of permafrost deformation across the entire QTP remain poorly understood. This study reveals the long-term and seasonal deformation characteristics of permafrost regions across the entire QTP using Sentinel-1 SAR imagery (primarily from 2019 to 2021) through time-series InSAR combined with a permafrost deformation model. Notably, it provides the first plateau-wide characterization of the spatial distribution of seasonal deformation. In addition, the dominant factors controlling both long-term and seasonal deformation were identified with the geographic detector method. The results demonstrate that permafrost regions experience significantly higher surface subsidence rates (−2.46 mm/year) than seasonally frozen areas (−0.54 mm/year). Spatially, ice-rich permafrost regions with lower thermal stability exhibit higher subsidence rates. The average seasonal deformation amplitude in permafrost areas is 3.85 mm, with larger values concentrated in flat basins and areas surrounding lakes and rivers. Moreover, spatial variability of long-term deformation is mainly controlled by solar radiation and precipitation, and both are positively correlated with deformation rates. Slope is the primary driver of spatial variation in seasonal deformation amplitude. These findings highlight the critical role of surface energy, moisture, and terrain in permafrost dynamics. The study demonstrates the potential of integrating time-series InSAR with geospatial analysis to support large-scale permafrost monitoring and estimation of ground-ice meltwater across the QTP.
期刊介绍:
The IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing addresses the growing field of applications in Earth observations and remote sensing, and also provides a venue for the rapidly expanding special issues that are being sponsored by the IEEE Geosciences and Remote Sensing Society. The journal draws upon the experience of the highly successful “IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing” and provide a complementary medium for the wide range of topics in applied earth observations. The ‘Applications’ areas encompasses the societal benefit areas of the Global Earth Observations Systems of Systems (GEOSS) program. Through deliberations over two years, ministers from 50 countries agreed to identify nine areas where Earth observation could positively impact the quality of life and health of their respective countries. Some of these are areas not traditionally addressed in the IEEE context. These include biodiversity, health and climate. Yet it is the skill sets of IEEE members, in areas such as observations, communications, computers, signal processing, standards and ocean engineering, that form the technical underpinnings of GEOSS. Thus, the Journal attracts a broad range of interests that serves both present members in new ways and expands the IEEE visibility into new areas.