Positive Predictive Value and Breast Cancer Histology by the Method of Detection Across a Multistate Health Care Enterprise.

Abstract

Objective: To compare the pathology outcomes of image-guided breast biopsies across a multistate health care enterprise by the method of detection (MOD), including the positive predictive value (PPV3) and histological types.

Methods: Biopsies from October 31, 2017, to July 6, 2023, across 18 imaging sites in 4 states were extracted. Radiologists prospectively assigned MODs, including symptomatic presentations (self-examination, clinical examination) and imaging modalities (mammogram, tomosynthesis, US, MRI, contrast-enhanced mammogram, molecular breast imaging, other imaging). For each MOD, the rates of malignancy and cancer subtypes were calculated. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed.

Results: In 26 932 biopsies on 22 582 patients (mean age 57.6 years ± 14.2 [SD]; 22 416 women), 6068 (81.1%) cancers were detected by screening, and 1144 (15.3%) were detected by symptoms. Symptomatic presentation MODs had a higher PPV3 (43.0% vs 25.6%; P < .001), larger cancer lesion sizes (x̄ = 27.5 mm vs x̄ = 17.8 mm; P < 001), and a higher association with invasive carcinoma (96.7% vs 76.8%; P <.001) compared with screening imaging-based MODs. Methods of detection with higher PPV3s also tended to have higher rates of invasive carcinoma (Spearman's ρ = 0.83).

Conclusion: Compared with breast cancers detected after symptomatic presentations, those identified via image-based screening were smaller and less often invasive, confirming the value of screening in early detection. Positive predictive value and the rate of invasive carcinoma varied in parallel across MODs.