MGPNet: A multi-modal geo-physical production network for reservoir yield forecasting

IF 7.5 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
Expert Systems with Applications Pub Date : 2026-05-25 Epub Date: 2026-02-06 DOI:10.1016/j.eswa.2026.131407
Qianlin Qiao , Ying Qiao , Xin Sun , Qiaomu Wen , Jian Lei
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Accurate reservoir production prediction often depends on a single data source or simplified physical assumptions, limiting the ability to fully capture complex reservoir heterogeneity and multi-physical coupling processes. To address these challenges, this paper proposes MGPNet, a multi-modal reservoir production prediction network that integrates seismic images, logging curves, and historical production sequences. The network incorporates the GeoFE-AE module, which uses adversarial feature enhancement and semantic alignment mechanisms to achieve deep feature extraction and collaborative representation across modalities. Furthermore, it introduces a Multi-scale Cross-Attention Mechanism (MCAM) to enable effective feature fusion across different modalities at multiple semantic granularities, and employs a bidirectional Transformer decoding and prediction module (BiAD) to accurately forecast future production sequences. Using a high-fidelity synthetic multi-modal dataset, experimental results demonstrate that MGPNet significantly outperforms existing mainstream methods across several key metrics: Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 2.12, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 5.87, Coefficient of Determination (R2) of 0.987, and Explained Variance Score (EVS) of 0.971. These results validate the model’s comprehensive strengths in accuracy, stability, and robustness to noise. Furthermore, transfer-learning evaluations on real wells from the Volve oilfield confirm the model’s practical applicability and strong cross-well generalization capability. This research offers a promising technical approach for deep fusion modeling of multi-source reservoir data, with substantial potential for practical engineering applications and further academic exploration.
MGPNet:用于油藏产量预测的多模态地球物理生产网络
准确的储层产量预测通常依赖于单一数据源或简化的物理假设,这限制了充分捕捉复杂储层非均质性和多物理耦合过程的能力。为了应对这些挑战,本文提出了MGPNet,这是一种集成了地震图像、测井曲线和历史生产序列的多模式油藏产量预测网络。该网络结合了GeoFE-AE模块,该模块使用对抗特征增强和语义对齐机制来实现深度特征提取和跨模态的协同表示。此外,它还引入了一种多尺度交叉注意机制(MCAM)来实现多语义粒度下不同模式的有效特征融合,并采用双向变压器解码和预测模块(BiAD)来准确预测未来的生产序列。实验结果表明,MGPNet在平均绝对误差(MAE)为2.12、均方根误差(RMSE)为5.87、决定系数(R2)为0.987、解释方差评分(EVS)为0.971等关键指标上显著优于现有主流方法。这些结果验证了该模型在准确性、稳定性和对噪声的鲁棒性方面的综合优势。通过对Volve油田实际井的迁移学习评价,验证了该模型的实用性和较强的井间推广能力。该研究为多源油藏数据的深度融合建模提供了一种很有前景的技术方法,具有实际工程应用和进一步的学术探索潜力。
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来源期刊
Expert Systems with Applications
Expert Systems with Applications 工程技术-工程:电子与电气
CiteScore
13.80
自引率
10.60%
发文量
2045
审稿时长
8.7 months
期刊介绍: Expert Systems With Applications is an international journal dedicated to the exchange of information on expert and intelligent systems used globally in industry, government, and universities. The journal emphasizes original papers covering the design, development, testing, implementation, and management of these systems, offering practical guidelines. It spans various sectors such as finance, engineering, marketing, law, project management, information management, medicine, and more. The journal also welcomes papers on multi-agent systems, knowledge management, neural networks, knowledge discovery, data mining, and other related areas, excluding applications to military/defense systems.
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