Qianlin Qiao , Ying Qiao , Xin Sun , Qiaomu Wen , Jian Lei
{"title":"MGPNet: A multi-modal geo-physical production network for reservoir yield forecasting","authors":"Qianlin Qiao , Ying Qiao , Xin Sun , Qiaomu Wen , Jian Lei","doi":"10.1016/j.eswa.2026.131407","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Accurate reservoir production prediction often depends on a single data source or simplified physical assumptions, limiting the ability to fully capture complex reservoir heterogeneity and multi-physical coupling processes. To address these challenges, this paper proposes MGPNet, a multi-modal reservoir production prediction network that integrates seismic images, logging curves, and historical production sequences. The network incorporates the GeoFE-AE module, which uses adversarial feature enhancement and semantic alignment mechanisms to achieve deep feature extraction and collaborative representation across modalities. Furthermore, it introduces a Multi-scale Cross-Attention Mechanism (MCAM) to enable effective feature fusion across different modalities at multiple semantic granularities, and employs a bidirectional Transformer decoding and prediction module (BiAD) to accurately forecast future production sequences. Using a high-fidelity synthetic multi-modal dataset, experimental results demonstrate that MGPNet significantly outperforms existing mainstream methods across several key metrics: Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 2.12, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 5.87, Coefficient of Determination (R<sup>2</sup>) of 0.987, and Explained Variance Score (EVS) of 0.971. These results validate the model’s comprehensive strengths in accuracy, stability, and robustness to noise. Furthermore, transfer-learning evaluations on real wells from the Volve oilfield confirm the model’s practical applicability and strong cross-well generalization capability. This research offers a promising technical approach for deep fusion modeling of multi-source reservoir data, with substantial potential for practical engineering applications and further academic exploration.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50461,"journal":{"name":"Expert Systems with Applications","volume":"312 ","pages":"Article 131407"},"PeriodicalIF":7.5000,"publicationDate":"2026-05-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Expert Systems with Applications","FirstCategoryId":"94","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0957417426003209","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/2/6 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Accurate reservoir production prediction often depends on a single data source or simplified physical assumptions, limiting the ability to fully capture complex reservoir heterogeneity and multi-physical coupling processes. To address these challenges, this paper proposes MGPNet, a multi-modal reservoir production prediction network that integrates seismic images, logging curves, and historical production sequences. The network incorporates the GeoFE-AE module, which uses adversarial feature enhancement and semantic alignment mechanisms to achieve deep feature extraction and collaborative representation across modalities. Furthermore, it introduces a Multi-scale Cross-Attention Mechanism (MCAM) to enable effective feature fusion across different modalities at multiple semantic granularities, and employs a bidirectional Transformer decoding and prediction module (BiAD) to accurately forecast future production sequences. Using a high-fidelity synthetic multi-modal dataset, experimental results demonstrate that MGPNet significantly outperforms existing mainstream methods across several key metrics: Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 2.12, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 5.87, Coefficient of Determination (R2) of 0.987, and Explained Variance Score (EVS) of 0.971. These results validate the model’s comprehensive strengths in accuracy, stability, and robustness to noise. Furthermore, transfer-learning evaluations on real wells from the Volve oilfield confirm the model’s practical applicability and strong cross-well generalization capability. This research offers a promising technical approach for deep fusion modeling of multi-source reservoir data, with substantial potential for practical engineering applications and further academic exploration.
期刊介绍:
Expert Systems With Applications is an international journal dedicated to the exchange of information on expert and intelligent systems used globally in industry, government, and universities. The journal emphasizes original papers covering the design, development, testing, implementation, and management of these systems, offering practical guidelines. It spans various sectors such as finance, engineering, marketing, law, project management, information management, medicine, and more. The journal also welcomes papers on multi-agent systems, knowledge management, neural networks, knowledge discovery, data mining, and other related areas, excluding applications to military/defense systems.