{"title":"Incorporating human reliability analysis into project buffer management: A novel approach for enhancing project performance","authors":"Junguang Zhang , Xi Wang , Estrella Díaz","doi":"10.1016/j.ijpe.2026.109948","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Considering that the knowledge resources, behavioral preferences and cognitive styles of project team members can have an impact on the project execution process. In this paper, we propose a new buffer management model based on human reliability analysis. First, a multi-dimensional reliability assessment model is established based on team members' internal and external performance impact factors to quantify work reliability. Second, project buffers are determined by analyzing the correlation between member work reliability and project safety time. Finally, dynamic adjustment and continuous improvement during project monitoring ensures that tracking and adjustments are made based on team member status and project buffer consumption. The simulation results show that the comprehensive performance of project duration and cost is improved. This study can provide quantitative decision support for project managers to address the subjective preferences of team members in response to the impact of human behavior on system reliability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14287,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Production Economics","volume":"296 ","pages":"Article 109948"},"PeriodicalIF":10.6000,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Production Economics","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0925527326000393","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/1/29 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Considering that the knowledge resources, behavioral preferences and cognitive styles of project team members can have an impact on the project execution process. In this paper, we propose a new buffer management model based on human reliability analysis. First, a multi-dimensional reliability assessment model is established based on team members' internal and external performance impact factors to quantify work reliability. Second, project buffers are determined by analyzing the correlation between member work reliability and project safety time. Finally, dynamic adjustment and continuous improvement during project monitoring ensures that tracking and adjustments are made based on team member status and project buffer consumption. The simulation results show that the comprehensive performance of project duration and cost is improved. This study can provide quantitative decision support for project managers to address the subjective preferences of team members in response to the impact of human behavior on system reliability.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Production Economics focuses on the interface between engineering and management. It covers all aspects of manufacturing and process industries, as well as production in general. The journal is interdisciplinary, considering activities throughout the product life cycle and material flow cycle. It aims to disseminate knowledge for improving industrial practice and strengthening the theoretical base for decision making. The journal serves as a forum for exchanging ideas and presenting new developments in theory and application, combining academic standards with practical value for industrial applications.