{"title":"Enhancing quadrotor trajectory prediction via hybrid-corrected TCN-MLP network","authors":"Liu Liu, Di Jin","doi":"10.1016/j.jfranklin.2026.108493","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>State estimation provides the foundation for the safe and autonomous operation of quadrotors by delivering reliable pose and velocity information under noisy and incomplete sensor measurements, but it is insufficient for complex missions. As its temporal extension, trajectory prediction underpins key functions such as path planning, obstacle avoidance, and decision-making control directly. Classical estimation methods are inadequate for long-horizon prediction, while deep learning models, despite their strong nonlinear representational capacity, lack real-time correction mechanisms compatible with state estimation principles. To overcome these limitations, this paper proposes a TCN-MLP trajectory prediction model enhanced with a hybrid-correction (HC) mechanism. By dynamically incorporating partial ground-truth observations during training, the HC mechanism effectively mitigates error accumulation. Experimental results on real-world quadrotor flight datasets demonstrate that the proposed method achieves superior long-term prediction accuracy and robustness compared with mainstream baselines.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17283,"journal":{"name":"Journal of The Franklin Institute-engineering and Applied Mathematics","volume":"363 5","pages":"Article 108493"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2000,"publicationDate":"2026-03-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of The Franklin Institute-engineering and Applied Mathematics","FirstCategoryId":"94","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016003226000931","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2026/2/10 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"AUTOMATION & CONTROL SYSTEMS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
State estimation provides the foundation for the safe and autonomous operation of quadrotors by delivering reliable pose and velocity information under noisy and incomplete sensor measurements, but it is insufficient for complex missions. As its temporal extension, trajectory prediction underpins key functions such as path planning, obstacle avoidance, and decision-making control directly. Classical estimation methods are inadequate for long-horizon prediction, while deep learning models, despite their strong nonlinear representational capacity, lack real-time correction mechanisms compatible with state estimation principles. To overcome these limitations, this paper proposes a TCN-MLP trajectory prediction model enhanced with a hybrid-correction (HC) mechanism. By dynamically incorporating partial ground-truth observations during training, the HC mechanism effectively mitigates error accumulation. Experimental results on real-world quadrotor flight datasets demonstrate that the proposed method achieves superior long-term prediction accuracy and robustness compared with mainstream baselines.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of The Franklin Institute has an established reputation for publishing high-quality papers in the field of engineering and applied mathematics. Its current focus is on control systems, complex networks and dynamic systems, signal processing and communications and their applications. All submitted papers are peer-reviewed. The Journal will publish original research papers and research review papers of substance. Papers and special focus issues are judged upon possible lasting value, which has been and continues to be the strength of the Journal of The Franklin Institute.