{"title":"Panel Threshold Mixed Data Sampling Models With a Covariate-Dependent Threshold","authors":"Lixiong Yang, I-Po Chen, Chingnun Lee, Yihang Ye","doi":"10.1111/jtsa.12813","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div>\n \n <p>This paper introduces a panel threshold mixed data sampling model with a covariate-dependent threshold and unobserved individual-specific threshold effects (PTMIDAS-CDT), in which we allow for a covariate-dependent threshold effect in the relationship between dependent and independent variables sampled at different frequencies, and allow for unobserved individual-specific threshold effects. Based on the Chamberlain–Mundlak correlated random effects (CRE) device and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique, we develop the estimator of model parameters and suggest test statistics for threshold effect, threshold constancy, the equal weighting scheme, and unobserved individual-specific threshold effects. We establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator in the small-threshold-effect framework and derive the limiting distributions of the suggested test statistics. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to examine the performance properties of the estimation and testing procedures. The simulation results point out that the estimation procedure works well in finite samples, and the test statistics have good size and power properties. The model is illustrated with an application to the nexus between climate change and economic growth.</p>\n </div>","PeriodicalId":49973,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Time Series Analysis","volume":"47 2","pages":"414-432"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-01-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Time Series Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jtsa.12813","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This paper introduces a panel threshold mixed data sampling model with a covariate-dependent threshold and unobserved individual-specific threshold effects (PTMIDAS-CDT), in which we allow for a covariate-dependent threshold effect in the relationship between dependent and independent variables sampled at different frequencies, and allow for unobserved individual-specific threshold effects. Based on the Chamberlain–Mundlak correlated random effects (CRE) device and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique, we develop the estimator of model parameters and suggest test statistics for threshold effect, threshold constancy, the equal weighting scheme, and unobserved individual-specific threshold effects. We establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator in the small-threshold-effect framework and derive the limiting distributions of the suggested test statistics. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to examine the performance properties of the estimation and testing procedures. The simulation results point out that the estimation procedure works well in finite samples, and the test statistics have good size and power properties. The model is illustrated with an application to the nexus between climate change and economic growth.
期刊介绍:
During the last 30 years Time Series Analysis has become one of the most important and widely used branches of Mathematical Statistics. Its fields of application range from neurophysiology to astrophysics and it covers such well-known areas as economic forecasting, study of biological data, control systems, signal processing and communications and vibrations engineering.
The Journal of Time Series Analysis started in 1980, has since become the leading journal in its field, publishing papers on both fundamental theory and applications, as well as review papers dealing with recent advances in major areas of the subject and short communications on theoretical developments. The editorial board consists of many of the world''s leading experts in Time Series Analysis.