Asymptotics for a discounted systemic risk measure in a multi-dimensional risk model with dependent claim sizes and stochastic return

IF 1.6 3区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
Journal of Multivariate Analysis Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-28 DOI:10.1016/j.jmva.2025.105569
Yang Yang , Zhenyuan Xu , Yahui Fan
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Consider a multi-dimensional renewal risk model, in which an insurer simultaneously operates more than one line of business, and is allowed to make both risk-free and risky investments. The claim sizes from all business lines are triggered by a series of common shocks, whose arrival times constitute a renewal counting process. The price process of the investment portfolio is described as a geometric Lévy process. In this study, we consider two cases that the claim sizes from different business lines are asymptotically dependent or asymptotically independent. Under the framework of regular variation, we study the asymptotic behavior of a discounted systemic risk measure, which is proposed by Li (2022) to describe the instant expected shortfall of the insurer at the moment when one of its business lines suffers crisis. The obtained results indicate that the asymptotics for the discounted systemic risk measure depend on neither the price process of the investment nor the renewal shock-number process, and, in addition, the asymptotic independence also gives no contribution to the asymptotic formula.
具有独立索赔规模和随机收益的多维风险模型中贴现系统风险测度的渐近性
考虑一个多维续保风险模型,在该模型中,保险公司同时经营多条业务线,并允许进行无风险和有风险的投资。来自所有业务线的索赔大小由一系列常见冲击触发,其到达时间构成续期计数过程。投资组合的价格过程被描述为一个几何lsamvy过程。在本研究中,我们考虑了两种情况,即来自不同业务线的索赔规模是渐近相关的或渐近独立的。在规则变化的框架下,我们研究了Li(2022)提出的贴现系统风险测度的渐近行为,该测度描述了当保险公司的一条业务线遭受危机时的即时预期缺口。所得结果表明,贴现系统风险测度的渐近性既不依赖于投资价格过程,也不依赖于更新冲击数过程,而且渐近独立性对渐近公式也没有贡献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Journal of Multivariate Analysis
Journal of Multivariate Analysis 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
25.00%
发文量
108
审稿时长
74 days
期刊介绍: Founded in 1971, the Journal of Multivariate Analysis (JMVA) is the central venue for the publication of new, relevant methodology and particularly innovative applications pertaining to the analysis and interpretation of multidimensional data. The journal welcomes contributions to all aspects of multivariate data analysis and modeling, including cluster analysis, discriminant analysis, factor analysis, and multidimensional continuous or discrete distribution theory. Topics of current interest include, but are not limited to, inferential aspects of Copula modeling Functional data analysis Graphical modeling High-dimensional data analysis Image analysis Multivariate extreme-value theory Sparse modeling Spatial statistics.
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