Borrowing From the Future: Enhancing Early Risk Assessment through Contrastive Learning.

Minghui Sun, Matthew M Engelhard, Benjamin A Goldstein
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Abstract

Risk assessments for a pediatric population are often conducted across multiple stages. For example, clinicians may evaluate risks prenatally, at birth, and during WellChild visits. While predictions at later stages typically achieve higher accuracy, it is clinically desirable to make reliable risk assessments as early as possible. Therefore, this study focuses on enhancing prediction performance in early-stage risk assessments. Our solution, Borrowing From the Future (BFF), is a contrastive multi-modal framework that treats each time window as a distinct modality. In BFF, a model is trained on all available data throughout the time while conduct risk assessment using the up-to-time information. This contrastive framework allows the model to "borrow" informative signals from later stages (e.g., WellChild visits) to implicitly supervise the learning at earlier stages (e.g., prenatal/birth stages). We validate BFF on two real-world pediatric outcome prediction tasks, demonstrating consistent improvements in early risk assessment. The code is at https://github.com/scotsun/bff.

借鉴未来:通过对比学习加强早期风险评估。
儿科人群的风险评估通常是在多个阶段进行的。例如,临床医生可以在产前、分娩时和访问WellChild期间评估风险。虽然后期的预测通常会达到更高的准确性,但临床希望尽早进行可靠的风险评估。因此,本研究的重点是提高早期风险评估的预测性能。我们的解决方案,借用未来(BFF),是一个对比多模态框架,将每个时间窗口视为一个独特的模态。在BFF中,一个模型在所有可用的数据上进行训练,同时使用最新的信息进行风险评估。这种对比框架允许模型“借用”后期阶段(例如,WellChild访问)的信息信号,以隐性地监督早期阶段(例如,产前/分娩阶段)的学习。我们在两个现实世界的儿科预后预测任务中验证了BFF,证明了早期风险评估的一致性改进。代码见https://github.com/scotsun/bff。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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