Haicheng Liao , Bonan Wang , Junxian Yang , Chengyue Wang , Zhengbing He , Guohui Zhang , Chengzhong Xu , Zhenning Li
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Accurate and reliable motion forecasting is essential for the safe deployment of autonomous vehicles (AVs), particularly in rare but safety-critical scenarios known as corner cases. Existing models often underperform in these situations due to an over-representation of common scenes in training data and limited generalization capabilities. To address this limitation, we present WM-MoE, the first world model-based motion forecasting framework that unifies perception, temporal memory, and decision making to address the challenges of high-risk corner-case scenarios. The model constructs a compact scene representation that explains current observations, anticipates future dynamics, and evaluates the outcomes of potential actions. To enhance long-horizon reasoning, we leverage large language models (LLMs) and introduce a lightweight temporal tokenizer that maps agent trajectories and contextual cues into the LLM’s feature space without additional training, enriching temporal context and commonsense priors. Furthermore, a mixture-of-experts (MoE) is introduced to decompose complex corner cases into subproblems and allocate capacity across scenario types, and a router assigns scenes to specialized experts that infer agent intent and perform counterfactual rollouts. In addition, we introduce nuScenes-corner, a new benchmark that comprises four real-world corner-case scenarios for rigorous evaluation. Extensive experiments on four benchmark datasets (nuScenes, NGSIM, HighD, and MoCAD) showcase that WM-MoE consistently outperforms state-of-the-art (SOTA) baselines and remains robust under corner-case and data-missing conditions, indicating the promise of world model-based architectures for robust and generalizable motion forecasting in fully AVs.
期刊介绍:
Transportation Research: Part C (TR_C) is dedicated to showcasing high-quality, scholarly research that delves into the development, applications, and implications of transportation systems and emerging technologies. Our focus lies not solely on individual technologies, but rather on their broader implications for the planning, design, operation, control, maintenance, and rehabilitation of transportation systems, services, and components. In essence, the intellectual core of the journal revolves around the transportation aspect rather than the technology itself. We actively encourage the integration of quantitative methods from diverse fields such as operations research, control systems, complex networks, computer science, and artificial intelligence. Join us in exploring the intersection of transportation systems and emerging technologies to drive innovation and progress in the field.