Mathematical Modeling and the Spreading of the Cholera Epidemic Through Numerical Methods

Abeer Aljohani, Amjid Hussain, Ali Shokri
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Abstract

This research examines a cholera outbreak, a serious intestinal illness caused by a significant presence of harmful bacteria in the body. We developed a mathematical model to investigate how diseases spread following exposure to pathogens, emphasizing the emergence of symptoms. Initially, the model's predictions were consistent, but it later shifted to different mathematical equations, enhancing our understanding of the disease's molecular mechanisms. Our results indicate that the fixed-pattern model can both provide a biological explanation for the disorder's unpredictable patterns and reach a stable equilibrium. We backed up our conclusions with mathematical ideas that show how the system behaves over time, which will be essential for cholera research in the future. To gain a better understanding of the fundamental causes of the disease, we developed a particular technique called the RK-4 and Non-Standard Finite Difference scheme (NSFD) for the continuous model. This approach, which employs a variety of criteria to assess the stability of intervals with and without the presence of the disease under various conditions, facilitates a comprehensive analysis of the disease's dynamics. Researchers can learn crucial information about the disease's behavior and community effects because of this approach. The results of this study can be used to forecast the spread of various infectious diseases through theoretical and numerical analyses. By using this method, researchers can gain important insight into how diseases behave and how they might affect the affected communities. This study's theoretical and numerical analyses may help forecast how different infectious diseases will spread.

Abstract Image

数值方法的数学建模与霍乱流行的传播
本研究调查了一次霍乱爆发,这是一种由体内大量有害细菌引起的严重肠道疾病。我们开发了一个数学模型来研究暴露于病原体后疾病如何传播,强调症状的出现。最初,该模型的预测是一致的,但后来它转向了不同的数学方程,增强了我们对疾病分子机制的理解。我们的研究结果表明,固定模式模型既可以为疾病的不可预测模式提供生物学解释,又可以达到稳定的平衡。我们用数学概念来支持我们的结论,这些数学概念显示了该系统如何随时间变化,这对未来的霍乱研究至关重要。为了更好地了解疾病的根本原因,我们为连续模型开发了一种称为RK-4和非标准有限差分方案(NSFD)的特殊技术。该方法采用各种标准来评估在各种条件下存在和不存在疾病的区间的稳定性,有助于对疾病动态进行全面分析。由于这种方法,研究人员可以了解有关疾病行为和社区影响的关键信息。本研究结果可以通过理论和数值分析来预测各种传染病的传播。通过使用这种方法,研究人员可以获得关于疾病如何表现以及它们如何影响受影响社区的重要见解。这项研究的理论和数值分析可能有助于预测不同传染病的传播方式。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.80
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