{"title":"Trend factors around the world: Performance and determinants","authors":"Yufeng Han , Xi Nancy Mo , Jian Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2025.107552","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the performance of trend factors across different markets around the world and demonstrates that the trend factors perform well across most of developed markets and many emerging markets, outperforming the market portfolio, short-term reversal, momentum, and long-term reversal. We further examine how cultural and legal differences influence the performance of the trend factor trading strategy and find it is more profitable in countries where the individualism is higher and securities laws are better enforced. Finally, the global trend factor aggregating individual market trend factors performs well and explains various global portfolios’ returns. The findings suggest that the trend factors present a challenge to traditional risk-based asset pricing theories, and trend factor trading strategies may deserve more attention in international portfolio management.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"181 ","pages":"Article 107552"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Banking & Finance","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378426625001724","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/10/10 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This study investigates the performance of trend factors across different markets around the world and demonstrates that the trend factors perform well across most of developed markets and many emerging markets, outperforming the market portfolio, short-term reversal, momentum, and long-term reversal. We further examine how cultural and legal differences influence the performance of the trend factor trading strategy and find it is more profitable in countries where the individualism is higher and securities laws are better enforced. Finally, the global trend factor aggregating individual market trend factors performs well and explains various global portfolios’ returns. The findings suggest that the trend factors present a challenge to traditional risk-based asset pricing theories, and trend factor trading strategies may deserve more attention in international portfolio management.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Banking and Finance (JBF) publishes theoretical and empirical research papers spanning all the major research fields in finance and banking. The aim of the Journal of Banking and Finance is to provide an outlet for the increasing flow of scholarly research concerning financial institutions and the money and capital markets within which they function. The Journal''s emphasis is on theoretical developments and their implementation, empirical, applied, and policy-oriented research in banking and other domestic and international financial institutions and markets. The Journal''s purpose is to improve communications between, and within, the academic and other research communities and policymakers and operational decision makers at financial institutions - private and public, national and international, and their regulators. The Journal is one of the largest Finance journals, with approximately 1500 new submissions per year, mainly in the following areas: Asset Management; Asset Pricing; Banking (Efficiency, Regulation, Risk Management, Solvency); Behavioural Finance; Capital Structure; Corporate Finance; Corporate Governance; Derivative Pricing and Hedging; Distribution Forecasting with Financial Applications; Entrepreneurial Finance; Empirical Finance; Financial Economics; Financial Markets (Alternative, Bonds, Currency, Commodity, Derivatives, Equity, Energy, Real Estate); FinTech; Fund Management; General Equilibrium Models; High-Frequency Trading; Intermediation; International Finance; Hedge Funds; Investments; Liquidity; Market Efficiency; Market Microstructure; Mergers and Acquisitions; Networks; Performance Analysis; Political Risk; Portfolio Optimization; Regulation of Financial Markets and Institutions; Risk Management and Analysis; Systemic Risk; Term Structure Models; Venture Capital.