Weighted residual empirical processes, martingale transformations, and model specification tests for regressions with diverging number of parameters

IF 4.7 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Journal of Econometrics Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-13 DOI:10.1016/j.jeconom.2025.106113
Falong Tan , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This paper explores hypothesis testing for the parametric forms of the mean and variance functions in regression models under diverging-dimension settings. To mitigate the curse of dimensionality, we introduce weighted residual empirical process-based tests, both with and without martingale transformations. The asymptotic properties of these tests are derived from the behavior of weighted residual empirical processes and their martingale transformations under the null and alternative hypotheses. The proposed tests without martingale transformations achieve the fastest possible rate of detecting local alternatives, specifically of order n−1/2, which is unaffected by dimensionality. However, these tests are not asymptotically distribution-free. To address this limitation, we propose a smooth residual bootstrap approximation and establish its validity in diverging-dimension settings. In contrast, tests incorporating martingale transformations are asymptotically distribution-free but exhibit an unexpected limitation: they can only detect local alternatives converging to the null at a much slower rate of order n−1/4, which remains independent of dimensionality. This finding reveals a theoretical advantage in the power of tests based on weighted residual empirical process without martingale transformations over their martingale-transformed counterparts, challenging the conventional wisdom of existing asymptotically distribution-free tests based on martingale transformations. To validate our approach, we conduct simulation studies and apply the proposed tests to a real-world dataset, demonstrating their practical effectiveness.
加权残差经验过程,鞅变换,和模型规格测试的回归与发散数的参数
本文探讨了离散维回归模型中均值和方差函数参数形式的假设检验。为了减轻维数的困扰,我们引入了加权残差经验过程测试,包括有和没有鞅变换。这些检验的渐近性质是由加权残差经验过程的性质及其在零假设和备假设下的鞅变换得到的。提出的没有鞅变换的测试实现了检测局部替代的最快速度,特别是n−1/2阶的替代,不受维数的影响。然而,这些检验不是渐近无分布的。为了解决这一限制,我们提出了一个平滑残差自举近似,并建立了它在发散维设置中的有效性。相比之下,包含鞅变换的测试是渐近无分布的,但表现出一个意想不到的限制:它们只能检测到以更慢的n−1/4阶速率收敛到零的局部替代方案,这仍然与维数无关。这一发现揭示了基于加权残差经验过程的测试在理论上的优势,而不是基于鞅变换的测试,挑战了现有基于鞅变换的渐近无分布测试的传统智慧。为了验证我们的方法,我们进行了模拟研究,并将提议的测试应用于现实世界的数据集,证明了它们的实际有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Journal of Econometrics
Journal of Econometrics 社会科学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
8.60
自引率
1.60%
发文量
220
审稿时长
3-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Econometrics serves as an outlet for important, high quality, new research in both theoretical and applied econometrics. The scope of the Journal includes papers dealing with identification, estimation, testing, decision, and prediction issues encountered in economic research. Classical Bayesian statistics, and machine learning methods, are decidedly within the range of the Journal''s interests. The Annals of Econometrics is a supplement to the Journal of Econometrics.
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