The Changing Landscape of Older Adults' Living Arrangements in Iran.

IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 GERONTOLOGY
Journal of Aging & Social Policy Pub Date : 2026-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-12 DOI:10.1080/08959420.2025.2568434
Milad Bagi, Wang Zhenglian, Feng Qiushi
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Living arrangements of older people significantly impact their lives and well-being, but no studies to date have examined future changes among older adults in living arrangements in Middle Eastern Asia. This study employs the ProFamy method to project future changes in the living arrangements among older adults aged 65 years and older in Iran during 2016-2051. The results reveal substantial shifts in the living arrangements of older adults. Older households are expected to triple by 2051, especially among those aged 80 years and older. Moreover, over three million older adults are projected to live alone, including about 1.2 million aged 80+. Households comprising older couples with no co-residing kids are projected to triple as well. These trends call for proactive planning and policymaking in Iran, emphasizing the importance of developing a robust medical system, suitable housing, long-term care provision, family caregiver support, and public initiatives promoting active aging.

伊朗老年人生活安排的变化。
老年人的生活安排对他们的生活和福祉有重大影响,但迄今为止还没有研究调查中东地区老年人生活安排的未来变化。本研究采用profamily方法预测2016-2051年伊朗65岁及以上老年人生活安排的未来变化。研究结果显示,老年人的生活安排发生了重大变化。预计到2051年,老年家庭将增加两倍,尤其是80岁及以上的家庭。此外,预计将有300多万老年人独居,其中包括约120万80岁以上的老年人。没有子女共同居住的老年夫妇组成的家庭也将增加3倍。这些趋势要求伊朗积极规划和制定政策,强调发展健全的医疗系统、适宜的住房、长期护理提供、家庭照护者支持以及促进积极老龄化的公共举措的重要性。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
13.00
自引率
3.90%
发文量
57
期刊介绍: The Journal of Aging & Social Policy offers a platform for insightful contributions from an international and interdisciplinary group of policy analysts and scholars. It provides an in-depth examination and analysis of critical phenomena that impact aging and the development and implementation of programs for the elderly from a global perspective, with a broad scope that encompasses not only the United States but also regions including Europe, the Middle East, Australia, Latin America, Asia, and the Asia-Pacific rim. The journal regularly addresses a wide array of issues such as long-term services and supports, home- and community-based care, nursing-home care, assisted living, long-term care financing, financial security, employment and training, public and private pension coverage, housing, transportation, health care access, financing, and quality, family dynamics, and retirement. These topics are of significant importance to the field of aging and social policy, reflecting the journal's commitment to presenting a comprehensive view of the challenges and solutions related to aging populations around the world.
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