Ferran Pellisé MD, PhD , Sleiman Haddad MD, PhD, FRCS , Susana Núñez-Pereira MD, PhD , Caglar Yilgor MD , Anika Pupak PhD , Manuel Ramírez-Valencia MD , Javier Pizones MD, PhD , Ahmet Alanay MD , Ibrahim Obeid MD , Frank S. Kleinstueck MD , Fabio Galbusera PhD , Oleguer Sagarra PhD , European Spine Study Group
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
BACKGROUND CONTEXT
Radiomics, a technique employing machine learning (ML) to extract quantitative features from processed radiographic images, holds promise for improving clinical prediction models. It offers the potential to comprehensively characterize spinal shape and alignment. We hypothesized that processed image (PrIm) algorithms outperform traditional radiographic measurements (TRM) and scores in predicting postoperative mechanical complications (MC) in adult spinal deformity (ASD).
PURPOSE
The aim was to compare the performance of PrIm algorithms to TRM-GAP score in the prediction of MC in ASD patients.
STUDY DESIGN/SETTING
An AI-leveraged retrospective analysis was conducted using data from a prospective international multicenter database dedicated to ASD.
PATIENT SAMPLE
The study focused on ASD patients aged 18 or older who were surgically treated and who had a minimum follow-up period of two years, with complete preoperative, 6-week and 2-year follow-up.
OUTCOME MEASURES
Major mechanical complications such as rod fractures, pseudarthrosis, or junctional kyphosis or failure.
METHODS
Processed full-spine standing radiographic images were analyzed using an automatic vertebral centroid generation algorithm to map posteroanterior (PA) and lateral spinal shape. Distances and angles between each vertebra and the pelvic centroid were automatically obtained. Machine learning models were constructed using Catboost, combining nonradiographic variables (Non-R: demographic, PROMS, surgical), TRM + GAP score, and PrIm features. AUC-ROC, sensitivity, specificity, and Brier score (0= perfectly calibrated / 1=poor) were used to evaluate prediction accuracy. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values were employed to assess variable contributions and address overfitting/noise.
RESULTS
A total of 690 patients (81% female, 52±19 years, 9.7±3.9 levels, 18.6% 3CO, 43.5% pelvic fixation, 37.5% MC) were analyzed. The Non-R + PrIm model outperformed the present “Gold Standard” model (Non-R + TRM-GAP): AUC-ROC 0.75 vs 0.71 (p=.009), accuracy 0.72 vs 0.62 (p<.001), specificity 0.79 vs 0.60 (p<.001), sensitivity 0.52 vs 0.70 (p<.001), and Brier score 0.17 vs 0.22 (p<.001). Adding TRM and GAP score to Non-R + PrIm model did not improve model estimates. SHAP adjusted models summed 35 variables and revealed PrIm's superior predictive importance, contributing 65.7% to the model compared to Non-R (Surgical factors 16.1%, PROMS 11.3% and demographics 6.9%). Personalized SHAP decision plots identified the most critical vertebral centroids associated with MC risk both globally and individually.
CONCLUSION
Radiomics powered by full-spine processed radiographic images enable the most accurate predictive models for MC in ASD. This novel approach offers clinicians a powerful and time-efficient tool for personalized surgical planning, ultimately enhancing ASD surgical outcomes.
期刊介绍:
The Spine Journal, the official journal of the North American Spine Society, is an international and multidisciplinary journal that publishes original, peer-reviewed articles on research and treatment related to the spine and spine care, including basic science and clinical investigations. It is a condition of publication that manuscripts submitted to The Spine Journal have not been published, and will not be simultaneously submitted or published elsewhere. The Spine Journal also publishes major reviews of specific topics by acknowledged authorities, technical notes, teaching editorials, and other special features, Letters to the Editor-in-Chief are encouraged.