[Prognostic value of difference between hematocrit and albumin in patients with sepsis].

Abstract

Objective: To investigate the value of difference between hematocrit (HCT) and albumin (Alb) in predicting the prognosis of patients with sepsis.

Methods: A retrospective study was conducted on the septic patients hospitalized at the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University from January to October in 2024. Clinical data including gender, age, body mass index (BMI), history of hypertension or diabetes, vital signs on admission, and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, blood lactic acid (Lac), oxygenation index (PaO₂/FiO₂), hemoglobin (Hb), white blood cell count (WBC), platelet count (PLT), lymphocyte count (LYM), HCT, Alb, difference between HCT and Alb, bilirubin, scrum creatinine (SCr), and fibrinogen (Fib) within 48 hours of admission were collected. The 28-day prognosis of patients was also recorded. Binary multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for 28-day death in patients with sepsis. The predictive efficacy of the difference between HCT and Alb on 28-day death was evaluated using the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve).

Results: Among 180 enrolled septic patients, 140 survived and 40 died on 28 days. Compared with the survival group, the patients in the death group was significantly older (years old: 64±16 vs. 55±15, P < 0.05), and had higher SOFA score, APACHE II score, and SCr [SOFA score: 6 (4, 9) vs. 3 (2, 5), APACHE II score: 13 (10, 18) vs. 8 (6, 11), SCr (μmol/L): 136 (70, 416) vs. 77 (58, 126), all P < 0.05] as well as lower Hb, PLT, HCT, difference between HCT and Alb, and Fib within 48 hours of admission [Hb (g/L): 90±30 vs. 106±79, PLT (×10⁹/L): 158 (57, 240) vs. 215 (110, 315), HCT: 0.258±0.081 vs. 0.333±0.077, difference between HCT and Alb: -6.52±7.40 vs. 1.07±7.63, Fib (g/L): 3.72±1.57 vs. 4.59±1.55, all P < 0.05]. No significant difference in gender, BMI, history of hypertension or diabetes, vital signs on admission, or other laboratory indicators was found between the two groups. Binary multivariate Logistic regression analysis revealed that age [odds ratio (OR) = 1.040, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.004-1.078, P = 0.030], APACHE II score (OR = 1.218, 95%CI was 1.038-1.430, P = 0.016), Hb (OR = 1.040, 95%CI was 1.014-1.068, P = 0.003), and difference between HCT and Alb (OR = 0.804, 95%CI was 0.727-0.889, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for 28-day death of septic patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of difference between HCT and Alb for predicting 28-day death of septic patients was 0.764 (95%CI was 0.679-0.849, P < 0.001). A cut-off value of difference between HCT and Alb ≤ -5.35 yielded a sensitivity of 80.7% and specificity of 65.0%.

Conclusions: The difference between HCT and Alb at early admission is a valuable predictor of prognosis in septic patients. A difference ≤ -5.35 indicates an increased death risk of septic patients.