Escalating risks and impacts of rainfall-induced geohazards

Saier Wu , Chong Xu , Junxue Ma , Huiran Gao
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The increasing impact of climate change has significantly intensified the frequency and severity of rainfall-induced geohazards, posing substantial threats to public safety and economic stability. Between 2019 and 2023, China recorded an annual average of 84 fatalities or missing persons due to such hazards, while the global average reached 494. Data from 2024 indicate a substantial rise, with 273 fatalities in China and 1570 globally. Increasingly intense and frequent precipitation events have been identified as key drivers of the rising frequency and severity of these geohazards. This study provides a retrospective analysis of recent rainfall-induced geohazard events and their characteristics, based on national disaster records. Key challenges in current risk management frameworks are identified, and integrated risk mitigation strategies are proposed to enhance societal resilience against both present and emerging threats.
降雨引发的地质灾害的风险和影响不断升级
气候变化的影响日益加剧,降雨引发的地质灾害的频率和严重程度显著增加,对公共安全和经济稳定构成重大威胁。2019年至2023年,中国平均每年因灾害死亡或失踪84人,而全球平均水平为494人。2024年的数据显示,死亡人数大幅上升,中国有273人死亡,全球有1570人死亡。日益强烈和频繁的降水事件已被确定为这些地质灾害频率和严重程度上升的主要驱动因素。本研究基于国家灾害记录,对近期降雨诱发的地质灾害事件及其特征进行了回顾性分析。确定了当前风险管理框架中的主要挑战,并提出了综合风险缓解战略,以增强社会抵御当前和新出现的威胁的能力。
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