{"title":"Global burden of osteoarthritis in middle-aged adults (40-59 years): estimates from the global burden of disease 2021 study.","authors":"Tingxuan Tang,Changyu Liu,Libo Zhao,Tian Ma,Chenghao Gao,Jiawei Jiang,Zixing Shu,Yuan Xiong,Chengjia Liu,Xuying Sun,Yuanli Zhu,Hao Zhu,Jun Xiao","doi":"10.1093/rheumatology/keaf475","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"OBJECTIVES\r\nOsteoarthritis (OA) is a leading cause of chronic pain and disability worldwide, traditionally viewed as a disease of aging. However, emerging evidence highlights its increasing prevalence among middle-aged adults (40-59 years), a population critical to socioeconomic stability. This study is designed to assess the burden of OA among middle-aged adults.\r\n\r\nMETHODS\r\nData were sourced from the GBD Study 2021. Incidence, prevalence and YLDs of OA were calculated in middle-aged adults from 1990 to 2021. Variability in OA burden was examined by SDI and geographical region. Incidence was forecast to 2050 using the GBD Foresight Visualization tool.\r\n\r\nRESULTS\r\nIncident cases of OA among middle-aged adults increased by 123.7%, from 11.8 million in 1990-26.4 million in 2021. ∼56.5% of incident cases and 37.9% of prevalent cases occur within middle-aged group, underscoring its critical burden. Middle-aged population experienced 70% and 331% higher incident cases compared with elderly population (>60 years) and younger population (30-39 years), respectively. The highest incidence YLDs were observed in the high-income region. A significant positive association was found between OA burden and SDI. By 2050, the age-standardized incident rate of OA in middle-aged population is projected to increase by 10.2%, with hand OA showing the largest rise.\r\n\r\nCONCLUSION\r\nThis study underscores the growing burden of OA among middle-aged adults, a population that has been historically underrepresented in OA research. The findings highlight the urgent need to prioritize prevention strategies. Early intervention could significantly delay disease progression and alleviate the future burden.","PeriodicalId":21255,"journal":{"name":"Rheumatology","volume":"15 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Rheumatology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1093/rheumatology/keaf475","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"RHEUMATOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
OBJECTIVES
Osteoarthritis (OA) is a leading cause of chronic pain and disability worldwide, traditionally viewed as a disease of aging. However, emerging evidence highlights its increasing prevalence among middle-aged adults (40-59 years), a population critical to socioeconomic stability. This study is designed to assess the burden of OA among middle-aged adults.
METHODS
Data were sourced from the GBD Study 2021. Incidence, prevalence and YLDs of OA were calculated in middle-aged adults from 1990 to 2021. Variability in OA burden was examined by SDI and geographical region. Incidence was forecast to 2050 using the GBD Foresight Visualization tool.
RESULTS
Incident cases of OA among middle-aged adults increased by 123.7%, from 11.8 million in 1990-26.4 million in 2021. ∼56.5% of incident cases and 37.9% of prevalent cases occur within middle-aged group, underscoring its critical burden. Middle-aged population experienced 70% and 331% higher incident cases compared with elderly population (>60 years) and younger population (30-39 years), respectively. The highest incidence YLDs were observed in the high-income region. A significant positive association was found between OA burden and SDI. By 2050, the age-standardized incident rate of OA in middle-aged population is projected to increase by 10.2%, with hand OA showing the largest rise.
CONCLUSION
This study underscores the growing burden of OA among middle-aged adults, a population that has been historically underrepresented in OA research. The findings highlight the urgent need to prioritize prevention strategies. Early intervention could significantly delay disease progression and alleviate the future burden.
期刊介绍:
Rheumatology strives to support research and discovery by publishing the highest quality original scientific papers with a focus on basic, clinical and translational research. The journal’s subject areas cover a wide range of paediatric and adult rheumatological conditions from an international perspective. It is an official journal of the British Society for Rheumatology, published by Oxford University Press.
Rheumatology publishes original articles, reviews, editorials, guidelines, concise reports, meta-analyses, original case reports, clinical vignettes, letters and matters arising from published material. The journal takes pride in serving the global rheumatology community, with a focus on high societal impact in the form of podcasts, videos and extended social media presence, and utilizing metrics such as Altmetric. Keep up to date by following the journal on Twitter @RheumJnl.