Clinical Frailty Scale and Comorbidity-Polypharmacy Score for prediction of 30-day mortality in a mixed ICU population.

Sarah Weihe, Lone Musaeus Poulsen, Mathias Maagaard, Anders Fournaise, Søren Kabell Nissen, Camilla Bekker Mortensen, Ole Mathiesen
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Abstract

Objective: To investigate the prediction of 30-day mortality by frailty and comorbidity in a mixed ICU population and monitor the implementation of the Clinical Frailty Scale as daily practice in the ICU.

Design: A prospective observational single-center cohort study.

Setting: Mixed ICU at Zealand University Hospital.

Patients: All patients >40 years of age acutely admitted to the ICU from April 1st 2021 to March 31st 2022.

Main variables of interest: Frailty assessed by the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), Comorbidity-Polypharmacy-Score (CPS), and 30-day mortality.

Results: A total of 319 patients were included in the study. Of these, 118 (37%) were categorized as frail, defined by a CFS ≥ 5. The CPS score was median (IQR) 13 (7-18), rated as moderate. Patients with increasing frailty demonstrated higher CPS scores. The overall 30-day mortality was 34.5%. Patients categorised as frail had a higher 30-day mortality compared to non-frail patients (47% vs 27%). The AUROC of CFS and CPS of 30-day mortality was 0.77 (95% CI 0.72 to 0.83) and 0.75 (95% CI 0.69 to 0.81), respectively. Combining CFS and CPS did not strengthen the ability to predict 30-day mortality compared to CFS alone. ICU clinicians assessed CFS in 79% of patients.

Conclusion: Frailty assessed by CFS had a fair prediction of 30-day mortality after ICU admission in a mixed ICU population. The discriminatory ability for predicting 30-day mortality was not improved by combining CFS and CPS compared to CFS alone. The clinical implementation of the CFS was performed effectively.

临床虚弱量表和合并症-多重用药评分用于预测混合ICU人群30天死亡率。
目的:探讨混合ICU人群虚弱和合并症对30天死亡率的预测,并监测临床虚弱量表在ICU的日常实施情况。设计:前瞻性观察单中心队列研究。地点:新西兰大学医院混合重症监护室。患者:所有在2021年4月1日至2022年3月31日期间急性入住ICU的患者,年龄为40岁。主要感兴趣的变量:通过临床虚弱量表(CFS)、合并症-多药性评分(CPS)和30天死亡率评估的虚弱程度。结果:共纳入319例患者。其中,118例(37%)被归类为虚弱,CFS≥5。CPS评分中位数(IQR) 13(7-18),评定为中度。越来越虚弱的患者表现出更高的CPS评分。总体30天死亡率为34.5%。与非虚弱患者相比,虚弱患者的30天死亡率更高(47%对27%)。CFS和CPS的30天死亡率AUROC分别为0.77 (95% CI 0.72 ~ 0.83)和0.75 (95% CI 0.69 ~ 0.81)。与单独的CFS相比,联合CFS和CPS并没有增强预测30天死亡率的能力。ICU临床医生对79%的患者进行了CFS评估。结论:在混合ICU人群中,CFS评估的虚弱对ICU入院后30天死亡率有合理的预测。与单独使用CFS相比,CFS和CPS联合使用对30天死亡率的预测能力没有提高。CFS的临床实施效果良好。
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