Mapping Healthcare Needs: A Systematic Review of Population Stratification Tools.

Abstract

Background and Aim: In 2021, healthcare expenditure in Italy represented 7.3% of the national gross domestic product, with approximately 80% attributed to the management of chronic diseases-an increasing burden associated with population aging. Population stratification tools have emerged as critical instruments for the efficient allocation of healthcare resources, particularly for high-need, high-cost individuals. This systematic review aimed to identify, classify, and evaluate existing population stratification tools based on their characteristics, validation status, and practical applications. Methods: A systematic literature review was conducted in accordance with the PRISMA 2020 guidelines to examine adult population stratification models grounded in healthcare needs. The review encompassed studies retrieved from major scientific databases and included both national and international implementations. Results: The initial search yielded 140,111 records, from which 17 distinct stratification tools were identified. Of these, nine had undergone validation through peer-reviewed studies. Within the Italian context, only six tools were in active use-three of which were developed as region-specific algorithms, while the remaining three employed internationally established software platforms. Conclusions: Population stratification tools provide a robust framework for assessing both clinical complexity and resource utilization, thereby facilitating the design of integrated care pathways and evidence-based policy decisions. In the context of proactive and personalized healthcare delivery, such tools play a pivotal role in enhancing system efficiency, informing strategic planning, and promoting equitable access to care.