{"title":"Variance of deviation from optimal leverage","authors":"Mustafa O. Caglayan, Diogo Duarte, Xiaomeng Lu","doi":"10.1111/jfir.12438","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>We show that deviations from the firm's target leverage are priced in the cross-section of stock returns and that the relation between these quantities is nonlinear. The concave nonlinear relation between deviation from the target leverage and next-period return is strong during economic expansions and vanishes during recessions. Our portfolio analysis provides support for the concave relation between deviation from the target leverage and next-period returns as well. We develop a factor named variance of deviation from optimal leverage (VDOL) and show that it is an important risk factor that has been omitted in the literature.</p>","PeriodicalId":47584,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Financial Research","volume":"48 3","pages":"1408-1442"},"PeriodicalIF":2.3000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Financial Research","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jfir.12438","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
We show that deviations from the firm's target leverage are priced in the cross-section of stock returns and that the relation between these quantities is nonlinear. The concave nonlinear relation between deviation from the target leverage and next-period return is strong during economic expansions and vanishes during recessions. Our portfolio analysis provides support for the concave relation between deviation from the target leverage and next-period returns as well. We develop a factor named variance of deviation from optimal leverage (VDOL) and show that it is an important risk factor that has been omitted in the literature.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Financial Research(JFR) is a quarterly academic journal sponsored by the Southern Finance Association (SFA) and the Southwestern Finance Association (SWFA). It has been continuously published since 1978 and focuses on the publication of original scholarly research in various areas of finance such as investment and portfolio management, capital markets and institutions, corporate finance, corporate governance, and capital investment. The JFR, also known as the Journal of Financial Research, provides a platform for researchers to contribute to the advancement of knowledge in the field of finance.