Arunashis Sau, Henry Zhang, Joseph Barker, Libor Pastika, Konstantinos Patlatzoglou, Boroumand Zeidaabadi, Ahmed El-Medany, Gul Rukh Khattak, Kathryn A. McGurk, Ewa Sieliwonczyk, James S. Ware, Nicholas S. Peters, Daniel B. Kramer, Jonathan W. Waks, Fu Siong Ng
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
IntroductionComplete heart block (CHB) is a life-threatening condition that can lead to ventricular standstill, syncopal injury, and sudden cardiac death, and current electrocardiography (ECG)-based risk stratification (presence of bifascicular block) is crude and has limited performance. Artificial intelligence–enhanced electrocardiography (AI-ECG) has been shown to identify a broad spectrum of subclinical disease and may be useful for CHB.ObjectiveTo develop an AI-ECG risk estimator for CHB (AIRE-CHB) to predict incident CHB.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis cohort study was a development and external validation prognostic study conducted at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center and validated externally in the UK Biobank volunteer cohort.ExposureElectrocardiogram.Main Outcomes and MeasuresA new diagnosis of CHB more than 31 days after the ECG. AIRE-CHB uses a residual convolutional neural network architecture with a discrete-time survival loss function and was trained to predict incident CHB.ResultsThe Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center cohort included 1 163 401 ECGs from 189 539 patients. AIRE-CHB predicted incident CHB with a C index of 0.836 (95% CI, 0.819-0.534) and area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) for incident CHB within 1 year of 0.889 (95% CI, 0.863-0.916). In comparison, the presence of bifascicular block had an AUROC of 0.594 (95% CI, 0.567-0.620). Participants in the high-risk quartile had an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 11.6 (95% CI, 7.62-17.7; P &lt; .001) for development of incident CHB compared with the low-risk group. In the UKB UK Biobank cohort of 50 641 ECGs from 189 539 patients, the C index for incident CHB prediction was 0.936 (95% CI, 0.900-0.972) and aHR, 7.17 (95% CI, 1.67-30.81; P &lt; .001).Conclusions and RelevanceIn this study, a first-of-its-kind deep learning model identified the risk of incident CHB. AIRE-CHB could be used in diverse settings to aid in decision-making for individuals with syncope or at risk of high-grade atrioventricular block.
JAMA cardiologyMedicine-Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine
CiteScore
45.80
自引率
1.70%
发文量
264
期刊介绍:
JAMA Cardiology, an international peer-reviewed journal, serves as the premier publication for clinical investigators, clinicians, and trainees in cardiovascular medicine worldwide. As a member of the JAMA Network, it aligns with a consortium of peer-reviewed general medical and specialty publications.
Published online weekly, every Wednesday, and in 12 print/online issues annually, JAMA Cardiology attracts over 4.3 million annual article views and downloads. Research articles become freely accessible online 12 months post-publication without any author fees. Moreover, the online version is readily accessible to institutions in developing countries through the World Health Organization's HINARI program.
Positioned at the intersection of clinical investigation, actionable clinical science, and clinical practice, JAMA Cardiology prioritizes traditional and evolving cardiovascular medicine, alongside evidence-based health policy. It places particular emphasis on health equity, especially when grounded in original science, as a top editorial priority.