Multi-Method Integrated Approach to Assess Human Climate Comfort in Iran

IF 2.5 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Majid Javari
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Abstract

Understanding human thermal comfort is essential for assessing environmental conditions and their implications for well-being, particularly in the context of global climate change. This study examines the influence of 30 climatic and ecological factors, including temperature, humidity, atmospheric pressure, solar radiation, wind dynamics, and topographical characteristics, on human thermal comfort across Iran. A multidisciplinary approach was employed, integrating principal component analysis (PCA) for feature selection, multivariate regression (MR) for impact quantification, cluster analysis (CA) for climate classification, and spatial modeling (SMA) to assess regional disparities. Furthermore, machine learning models (MLMs) and artificial neural networks (ANNs) were utilized to capture complex, nonlinear relationships in climate–comfort interactions. Based on a comprehensive data set spanning 38 years (1984–2022), the findings reveal significant spatial variations in climate sensitivity. Weighted indices such as predicted mean vote (PMV), physiologically equivalent temperature (PET), and thermal discomfort index (TDI) enhance the precision of comfort assessments. The results indicate that northern Iran, particularly the western coastal region of the Caspian Sea, exhibits the most favorable climatic conditions, whereas arid and semi-arid areas experience heightened thermal stress. These insights advance biometeorological research by linking climate variability to human physiological responses and provide practical implications for urban planning, public health policies, and climate adaptation strategies. By integrating high-dimensional climate data with advanced computational techniques, this study highlights the necessity of adaptive measures to mitigate the impacts of climate change on human thermal comfort.

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伊朗人类气候舒适度评价的多方法综合方法
了解人体热舒适对于评估环境条件及其对健康的影响至关重要,特别是在全球气候变化的背景下。本研究考察了30个气候和生态因素,包括温度、湿度、大气压、太阳辐射、风动力和地形特征,对伊朗各地人类热舒适的影响。采用多学科方法,结合主成分分析(PCA)进行特征选择,多元回归(MR)进行影响量化,聚类分析(CA)进行气候分类,空间建模(SMA)评估区域差异。此外,利用机器学习模型(MLMs)和人工神经网络(ann)来捕捉气候舒适相互作用中复杂的非线性关系。基于38年(1984-2022)的综合数据集,研究结果揭示了气候敏感性的显著空间差异。预测平均投票(PMV)、生理等效温度(PET)和热不适指数(TDI)等加权指标提高了舒适度评估的精度。结果表明,伊朗北部,特别是里海西部沿海地区,表现出最有利的气候条件,而干旱和半干旱地区则经历了更大的热应力。这些见解通过将气候变率与人类生理反应联系起来,推进了生物气象学研究,并为城市规划、公共卫生政策和气候适应战略提供了实际意义。通过将高维气候数据与先进的计算技术相结合,本研究强调了采取适应性措施减轻气候变化对人类热舒适影响的必要性。
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来源期刊
Meteorological Applications
Meteorological Applications 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
3.70%
发文量
62
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The aim of Meteorological Applications is to serve the needs of applied meteorologists, forecasters and users of meteorological services by publishing papers on all aspects of meteorological science, including: applications of meteorological, climatological, analytical and forecasting data, and their socio-economic benefits; forecasting, warning and service delivery techniques and methods; weather hazards, their analysis and prediction; performance, verification and value of numerical models and forecasting services; practical applications of ocean and climate models; education and training.
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