Research on data driven dynamic mechanism of energy enterprise investment: based on system dynamics simulation

Q2 Energy
Yongfeng Qiao, Hongtao Zhu, Yue Zhu
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Under the background of global energy transformation and the integration of digital economy, energy enterprises’ digital investment faces the challenges of uncertain return cycle and lack of data asset pricing mechanism. By constructing a system dynamics model, this paper reveals the dynamic mechanism of data-driven digital investment decision-making of energy enterprises. The research shows that: the value of data assets forms a self reinforcing cycle through the return reinvestment loop, and its scale expansion is regulated by the dynamic balance between the cost constraint and the value inhibition loop; The improvement of market risk perception, the robustness of the trading market, the increase of energy policy intensity and the weakening of peer competition can significantly improve the cumulative profits of enterprises; Adaptive investment strategy has more advantages than fixed investment strategy, but the timing of strategy transformation needs to be accurately controlled. The simulation results provide a basis for enterprises to optimize the data investment path. It is suggested to build a data-driven dynamic investment system, deepen the operation of data assets, and call on the policy side to improve the data factor market system and incentive measures, so as to jointly promote the strategic transformation of energy enterprises to data centers.

能源企业投资数据驱动动态机制研究——基于系统动力学仿真
在全球能源转型和数字经济融合的大背景下,能源企业的数字化投资面临着回报周期不确定、数据资产定价机制缺失的挑战。通过构建系统动力学模型,揭示了数据驱动能源企业数字化投资决策的动力机制。研究表明:数据资产的价值通过收益再投资循环形成一个自我强化的循环,其规模扩张受成本约束与价值抑制循环的动态平衡调节;市场风险认知的提高、交易市场的稳健性、能源政策强度的增加和同业竞争的减弱都能显著提高企业的累计利润;自适应投资策略比固定投资策略具有更多的优势,但需要精确控制策略转换的时机。仿真结果为企业优化数据投资路径提供了依据。建议构建数据驱动的动态投资体系,深化数据资产运营,呼吁政策方面完善数据要素市场体系和激励措施,共同推动能源企业向数据中心战略转型。
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来源期刊
Energy Informatics
Energy Informatics Computer Science-Computer Networks and Communications
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
34
审稿时长
5 weeks
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