Optimizing cementing displacement efficiency using a machine learning ensemble Models: Application of fluent simulation and optimization algorithms

IF 4.6 0 ENERGY & FUELS
Mou Yang , Shuangmiao Che , Pengchao Zhao , ShiYao Wang , Mulei Zhu , Jingpeng Wang
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Abstract

Increasing displacement efficiency during cementing has been identified as a crucial measure for enhancing cementing quality. To evaluate displacement efficiency, the correctness of using the Fluent simulation method was verified based on field logging data. On this basis, Fluent numerical simulation results were utilized as the dataset, which formed the foundation for developing prediction models for displacement efficiency. Prediction models were developed using machine learning techniques, employing Random Forest, Extremely Randomized Trees, Artificial Neural Network, and Support Vector Machine algorithms. To ensure seamless integration of these techniques, the Stacking method was applied as a meta-model to combine the most accurate individual models, effectively leveraging their strengths. The prediction accuracy of the ensemble model was analyzed along with the influence weights of various cementing parameters on displacement efficiency. The research further optimized cementing parameters using the Stacking prediction model in conjunction with advanced optimization algorithms, including the L-BFGS, simulated annealing, and gradient descent methods, to achieve optimal displacement efficiency. High computational accuracy was demonstrated by the Random Forest and Extremely Randomized Trees algorithms, with further improvements achieved through the ensemble model combining these two algorithms. The L-BFGS algorithm performed excellently in predicting displacement efficiency in both wide and narrow annular gaps, resulting in improvements of 3.74 % and 5.46 %, respectively, compared to the original method. Furthermore, the deviation between the predicted results and the actual simulated values was controlled within 3.5 %, indicating a high degree of accuracy and reliability. This research not only validates Fluent simulations with field data but also demonstrates the value of machine learning in overcoming measurement challenges. By integrating simulations with prediction and optimization models, it introduces a practical framework that enhances cementing optimization and sets a benchmark for future studies.
利用机器学习集成模型优化固井置换效率:流畅仿真和优化算法的应用
提高固井顶替效率是提高固井质量的关键措施。为了评价驱替效率,利用现场测井资料验证了Fluent模拟方法的正确性。在此基础上,利用Fluent数值模拟结果作为数据集,为建立驱替效率预测模型奠定了基础。使用机器学习技术开发预测模型,采用随机森林、极度随机树、人工神经网络和支持向量机算法。为了确保这些技术的无缝集成,将堆叠方法作为元模型来组合最精确的单个模型,有效地利用它们的优势。分析了系综模型的预测精度以及各固井参数对驱替效率的影响权重。利用Stacking预测模型,结合L-BFGS、模拟退火、梯度下降等先进的优化算法,进一步优化固井参数,实现最优驱替效率。随机森林和极度随机树算法具有较高的计算精度,结合这两种算法的集成模型进一步提高了计算精度。L-BFGS算法在宽环隙和窄环隙的驱替效率预测方面都表现出色,分别比原方法提高了3.74%和5.46%。预测结果与实际模拟值的偏差控制在3.5%以内,具有较高的准确性和可靠性。这项研究不仅用现场数据验证了Fluent模拟,而且证明了机器学习在克服测量挑战方面的价值。通过将模拟与预测和优化模型相结合,引入了一个实用的框架,增强了固井优化,并为未来的研究设定了基准。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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