Land abandonment as an indicator of Ukrainian agricultural resilience during Russia's war against Ukraine

IF 5.4 2区地球科学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY

Applied Geography Pub Date : 2025-08-11 DOI:10.1016/j.apgeog.2025.103744

Sarah Hartman , Rachel Whiteside , Anatoliy Smaliychuk , Iryna Dronova

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Amidst the war, the resilience of Ukraine's export agriculture sector – among the top 10 worldwide and critical for food security – remains a global concern. Here we investigate agricultural resilience in eastern and southern Ukraine by testing the linkage of war and weather on satellite-assessed agricultural abandonment since 2011. We find that less than 0.05 % of the area has been fully abandoned since the war's start in 2014, with another 0.7 % since 2016, and 5 % in early abandonment since 2022. Meanwhile, 0.3 % of the area was fully abandoned then recultivated. Russian occupation is most strongly and positively associated with total abandonment followed by annual precipitation and annual agricultural extent since 2018. In 2023, uncultivated fields were ∼3 times more common in regions previously supplied by the Kakhovka Reservoir than outside those. This study demonstrates how integrating satellite imagery and open data can deepen our understanding of agricultural resilience and inform post-conflict recovery.

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在俄罗斯对乌克兰的战争中，土地遗弃是乌克兰农业恢复力的一个指标

在战争期间，乌克兰出口农业部门的恢复能力仍然是全球关注的问题。乌克兰出口农业是全球十大出口农业之一，对粮食安全至关重要。在这里，我们通过测试2011年以来战争和天气对卫星评估的农业放弃的联系，研究乌克兰东部和南部的农业恢复力。我们发现，自2014年战争开始以来，该地区只有不到0.05%的地区被完全放弃，自2016年以来还有0.7%的地区被完全放弃，自2022年以来有5%的地区被早期放弃。同时，0.3%的面积被完全废弃，然后重新开垦。自2018年以来，俄罗斯的占领与总撂荒量呈正相关，其次是年降水量和年农业面积。到2023年，在原先由Kakhovka水库供应的地区，未开垦的土地是其他地区的3倍。该研究表明，将卫星图像和开放数据相结合可以加深我们对农业复原力的理解，并为冲突后恢复提供信息。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Applied Geography GEOGRAPHY-

CiteScore

8.00

自引率

2.00%

发文量

134

期刊介绍： Applied Geography is a journal devoted to the publication of research which utilizes geographic approaches (human, physical, nature-society and GIScience) to resolve human problems that have a spatial dimension. These problems may be related to the assessment, management and allocation of the world physical and/or human resources. The underlying rationale of the journal is that only through a clear understanding of the relevant societal, physical, and coupled natural-humans systems can we resolve such problems. Papers are invited on any theme involving the application of geographical theory and methodology in the resolution of human problems.