Why Don't Farmers Use Futures and Options for Hedging? An Examination of Historical Basis Risk and Cash Constraints

IF 2.3 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Daniel L. Prager, Christopher B. Burns, Ryan Williams
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Agricultural producers face significant price risk, yet studies consistently find farmers use futures and options much less than predicted by optimal hedging models. Using nationally representative farm-level data, we investigate two underexplored factors that can affect the use of exchange-traded derivatives: historical basis risk and cash constraints. We show that corn and soybean farms located in counties that experienced a large, negative change in the corn basis between planting and harvest (a negative basis shock) in the last 5 years are less likely to use futures contracts (6–12 percentage points) and options contracts (3–18 percentage points), but have a greater likelihood of marketing contract use (14–24 percentage points). We also find that farms with greater cash constraints (lower cash holdings) are less likely to use futures and options. We show that crop insurance, storage, and cooperative membership are complementary when using futures and options.

为什么农民不使用期货和期权进行对冲?历史基差风险和现金约束的检验
农业生产者面临着巨大的价格风险,但研究一致发现,农民使用期货和期权的数量远低于最优对冲模型的预测。利用具有全国代表性的农场数据,我们研究了可能影响交易所交易衍生品使用的两个未被充分探索的因素:历史基础风险和现金约束。我们发现,在过去5年中,在种植和收获之间的玉米基数经历了巨大的负变化(负基数冲击)的县,玉米和大豆农场使用期货合约(6-12个百分点)和期权合约(3-18个百分点)的可能性较小,但使用营销合约的可能性较大(14-24个百分点)。我们还发现,现金约束较大(现金持有量较低)的农场不太可能使用期货和期权。我们表明,在使用期货和期权时,作物保险、储存和合作社成员是互补的。
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来源期刊
Journal of Futures Markets
Journal of Futures Markets BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
15.80%
发文量
91
期刊介绍: The Journal of Futures Markets chronicles the latest developments in financial futures and derivatives. It publishes timely, innovative articles written by leading finance academics and professionals. Coverage ranges from the highly practical to theoretical topics that include futures, derivatives, risk management and control, financial engineering, new financial instruments, hedging strategies, analysis of trading systems, legal, accounting, and regulatory issues, and portfolio optimization. This publication contains the very latest research from the top experts.
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