The window of opportunity: Linking climate history and storms

IF 3.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY
A. Jardine, K. A. Selby, D. Higgins
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

High magnitude storms have impacted coastal maritime communities, instigating national government responses. Storm catastrophes can open a ‘window of opportunity’ that enables the implementation of new long-term disaster risk reduction measures. Analysis of historical storm events using written newspaper records identified the Royal Charter storm of 1859 as a catastrophe that opened a window of opportunity. The resulting actions prompted the first national (UK) storm early warning systems which continue today as the Meteorological Office forecasts. This historical case study demonstrates how the effective use of the window of opportunity can instigate beneficial long-term change that decreases vulnerability. However, policies emerging from such windows of opportunity must consider the diverse cause of catastrophe and avoid overreliance on top-down technocracy, instead promoting community engagement and autonomy for sustained success. Environmental history can contribute to improving the understanding of the limitations of technocracy and the importance of community agency in enhancing hazard understanding and effective early warning systems.

机会之窗:将气候历史与风暴联系起来
高强度的风暴影响了沿海海洋社区,促使国家政府作出反应。风暴灾难可以打开一个“机会之窗”,使实施新的长期减少灾害风险措施成为可能。利用书面报纸记录对历史风暴事件进行分析,发现1859年的皇家特许状风暴是一场灾难,它打开了一扇机会之窗。由此产生的行动促成了首个国家(英国)风暴预警系统,据气象局预测,该系统将持续到今天。这一历史案例研究表明,如何有效利用机会之窗,可以激发有益的长期变化,减少脆弱性。然而,从这样的机会之窗中产生的政策必须考虑灾难的多种原因,避免过度依赖自上而下的技术官僚,而是促进社区参与和自治,以获得持续的成功。环境史有助于增进对技术官僚主义局限性的了解,以及社区机构在加强对灾害的了解和建立有效的早期预警系统方面的重要性。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
12
审稿时长
25 weeks
期刊介绍: Geo is a fully open access international journal publishing original articles from across the spectrum of geographical and environmental research. Geo welcomes submissions which make a significant contribution to one or more of the journal’s aims. These are to: • encompass the breadth of geographical, environmental and related research, based on original scholarship in the sciences, social sciences and humanities; • bring new understanding to and enhance communication between geographical research agendas, including human-environment interactions, global North-South relations and academic-policy exchange; • advance spatial research and address the importance of geographical enquiry to the understanding of, and action about, contemporary issues; • foster methodological development, including collaborative forms of knowledge production, interdisciplinary approaches and the innovative use of quantitative and/or qualitative data sets; • publish research articles, review papers, data and digital humanities papers, and commentaries which are of international significance.
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