Sijin Lee, Kwang-Sig Lee, Kap Su Han, Juhyun Song, Sung Woo Lee, Su Jin Kim
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: Optimal mean arterial pressure (MAP) range after cardiac arrest remains uncertain. This study aimed to investigate the association between MAP and neurological outcomes during the early post-resuscitation period, with the goal of identifying optimal MAP range associated with favorable outcomes.
Methods: This retrospective observational study included 291 post-cardiac arrest patients treated at a tertiary care center. Five machine learning models to predict favorable neurological outcomes using hourly MAP measurements during the first 24 h after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) were compared and Random Forest model was selected due to its superior performance. Variable importance and Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) were used to investigate the association between MAP and favorable neurological outcomes. SHAP dependence plots were used to identify optimal MAP ranges associated with favorable outcomes. In addition, individual-level predictions were interpreted using local interpretable model-agnostic explanations (LIME) and SHAP force plots.
Results: Machine learning analysis showed that MAP were associated with favorable neurological outcomes, with higher variable importance during the first 6 h after ROSC. SHAP analysis revealed an inverted U-shaped relationship between MAP and favorable neurological outcomes, with an optimal threshold of 79.56 mmHg (IQR: 73.70-82.54). This threshold remained consistent across both early (1-6 h: 79.26 mmHg) and later (7-24 h: 80.09 mmHg) hours. Individual-level explanations using SHAP and LIME highlighted that maintaining higher MAP during the early post-resuscitation period contributed positively to outcome predictions.
Conclusions: Machine learning analysis identified MAP as a major predictor of favorable neurological outcomes, with higher variable importance during the first 6 h after ROSC. MAP showed an inverted U-shaped relationship with favorable neurological outcomes, with an optimal threshold of approximately 80 mmHg.
期刊介绍:
"Journal of Intensive Care" is an open access journal dedicated to the comprehensive coverage of intensive care medicine, providing a platform for the latest research and clinical insights in this critical field. The journal covers a wide range of topics, including intensive and critical care, trauma and surgical intensive care, pediatric intensive care, acute and emergency medicine, perioperative medicine, resuscitation, infection control, and organ dysfunction.
Recognizing the importance of cultural diversity in healthcare practices, "Journal of Intensive Care" also encourages submissions that explore and discuss the cultural aspects of intensive care, aiming to promote a more inclusive and culturally sensitive approach to patient care. By fostering a global exchange of knowledge and expertise, the journal contributes to the continuous improvement of intensive care practices worldwide.