Evaluation of achievement change in Egypt using PIRLS data

Abstract

This study analyzes Egypt’s exceptional reading achievement gains during the COVID-19 school closures, a period when most countries experienced declines. Drawing on data from the 2016 and 2021 Progress in International Reading Literacy Study (PIRLS), we find a 48-point improvement—equivalent to two years of learning—with notable gains among boys. Using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and projected trend models, we confirm the significance of this rise. Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition attributes only one-third of the improvement to observed factors. The study finds that Egypt’s progress likely reflects systemic reforms, but more research is needed to confirm that.