Xihua Zheng, Yumin Zhang, Huiying Huang, Ningbin Luo
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Purpose: To develop a model based on Functional Liver Imaging Score (FLIS) to estimate the risk of clinically significant post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after resection.
Patients and methods: This retrospective study analyzed 885 patients with HCC who undergoing liver resection at our medical center between January 2017 and December 2021. Patients were randomly (7:3) assigned to development (n=620) or internal validation (n=265) cohorts. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors for clinically significant PHLF, defined as grade B or C PHLF by the International Study Group of Liver Surgery. Predictive performance was assessed by the area under receiver operator characteristic curves (AUC).
Results: Clinically significant PHLF occurred in 7.7% of the development cohort and 7.2% of the internal validation cohort. Multivariate analysis identified FLIS, major resection and ALBI score as independent predictors of clinically significant PHLF, and a model combining these three variables predicted failure in the development cohort (AUC 0.746, 95% CI 0.673-0.820) and internal validation cohort (AUC 0.717, 95% CI 0.595-0.838). The same model also predicted mortality within 90 days after surgery in the development cohort (AUC 0.704, 95% CI 0.575-0.832) and internal validation cohort (AUC 0.717, 95% CI 0.586-0.848). In both cohorts, overall survival rate was significantly lower among patients whom the model placed at high risk of clinically significant PHLF than among those at low risk.
Conclusion: The combination of FLIS and other easily acquired clinical data may reliably predict clinically significant PHLF and mortality in hepatocellular carcinoma.
目的:建立基于肝功能影像学评分(FLIS)的模型,评估肝细胞癌(HCC)术后发生临床意义的肝切除术后肝功能衰竭(PHLF)的风险。患者和方法:本回顾性研究分析了2017年1月至2021年12月在我院行肝切除术的885例HCC患者。患者被随机(7:3)分配到发展(n=620)或内部验证(n=265)队列。进行单变量和多变量logistic回归分析,以确定临床显著性PHLF的独立危险因素,国际肝脏外科研究小组将PHLF定义为B级或C级。通过接收算子特征曲线下面积(AUC)评估预测性能。结果:有临床意义的PHLF发生率为7.7%的开发队列和7.2%的内部验证队列。多因素分析发现,FLIS、主要切除和ALBI评分是临床显著性PHLF的独立预测因素,结合这三个变量的模型预测了发展队列(AUC 0.746, 95% CI 0.673-0.820)和内部验证队列(AUC 0.717, 95% CI 0.595-0.838)的失败。该模型还预测了发展队列(AUC 0.704, 95% CI 0.575-0.832)和内部验证队列(AUC 0.717, 95% CI 0.586-0.848)术后90天内的死亡率。在这两个队列中,模型中处于临床显著性PHLF高风险的患者的总生存率明显低于低风险的患者。结论:结合FLIS和其他容易获得的临床数据,可以可靠地预测肝细胞癌的PHLF和死亡率。