The Causal Effect of Gun Violence on Everyday Mobility Patterns Across US Neighborhoods.

IF 1.1 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY
Spatial Demography Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-16 DOI:10.1007/s40980-025-00139-1
Karl Vachuska, Masoud Movahed
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Gun violence takes an enormous toll on neighborhoods and their residents in important ways. While research has identified that violence makes neighborhoods less appealing and livable, few studies have fully quantified the effect of violence on neighborhoods' vitality and dynamism. In this study, we introduce the notion of 'neighborhood activity,' which we measure by the unique number of everyday visitors those neighborhoods receive from residents of other neighborhoods. Drawing on a large geographically-coded dataset of 30,000 gun violence incidents across US neighborhoods in conjunction with daily mobility pattern data based on 45 million mobile devices, we apply a quasi-experimental method to estimate the impact of gun violence on the number of visitors neighborhoods receive. We find that gun violence reduces neighborhoods' visibility significantly, but its consequences are disproportionately distributed among non-White neighborhoods that are far less popular to begin with. Our estimation results indicate that gun violence cost neighborhoods approximately 9 million visitors in the year 2019 alone.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40980-025-00139-1.

枪支暴力对美国社区日常流动模式的因果影响。
枪支暴力在许多重要方面对社区及其居民造成了巨大损失。虽然研究已经确定暴力会降低社区的吸引力和宜居性,但很少有研究能够充分量化暴力对社区活力和活力的影响。在这项研究中,我们引入了“社区活动”的概念,我们通过这些社区每天接待的来自其他社区居民的独特访客数量来衡量。利用美国社区30,000起枪支暴力事件的大型地理编码数据集,结合基于4500万台移动设备的日常移动模式数据,我们应用准实验方法来估计枪支暴力对社区接待的游客数量的影响。我们发现,枪支暴力大大降低了社区的知名度,但其后果不成比例地分布在非白人社区,这些社区本来就不那么受欢迎。我们的估计结果表明,仅在2019年,枪支暴力就使社区损失了大约900万游客。补充资料:在线版本提供补充资料,网址为10.1007/s40980-025-00139-1。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Spatial Demography
Spatial Demography DEMOGRAPHY-
自引率
0.00%
发文量
12
期刊介绍: Spatial Demography focuses on understanding the spatial and spatiotemporal dimension of demographic processes.  More specifically, the journal is interested in submissions that include the innovative use and adoption of spatial concepts, geospatial data, spatial technologies, and spatial analytic methods that further our understanding of demographic and policy-related related questions. The journal publishes both substantive and methodological papers from across the discipline of demography and its related fields (including economics, geography, sociology, anthropology, environmental science) and in applications ranging from local to global scale. In addition to research articles the journal will consider for publication review essays, book reviews, and reports/reviews on data, software, and instructional resources.
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