{"title":"Predicting arterial pressure without prejudice: towards effective hypotension prediction models","authors":"Simon Tilma Vistisen, Paul Elbers","doi":"10.1016/j.bja.2025.06.016","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Selection bias has been identified in hypotension prediction models, but its impact on an algorithm’s ability to learn relevant information from the arterial waveform remains unclear. The recent study by Yang and colleagues sheds considerable light on this by training and evaluating a deep learning prediction model with biased and unbiased data selections. Unbiased training data allowed an algorithm to learn modestly more than just current blood pressure and the bias significantly distorted and inflated the positive predictive value. We discuss these findings and offer suggestions for further developing effective hypotension prediction algorithms.","PeriodicalId":9250,"journal":{"name":"British journal of anaesthesia","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":9.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-07-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"British journal of anaesthesia","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bja.2025.06.016","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ANESTHESIOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Selection bias has been identified in hypotension prediction models, but its impact on an algorithm’s ability to learn relevant information from the arterial waveform remains unclear. The recent study by Yang and colleagues sheds considerable light on this by training and evaluating a deep learning prediction model with biased and unbiased data selections. Unbiased training data allowed an algorithm to learn modestly more than just current blood pressure and the bias significantly distorted and inflated the positive predictive value. We discuss these findings and offer suggestions for further developing effective hypotension prediction algorithms.
期刊介绍:
The British Journal of Anaesthesia (BJA) is a prestigious publication that covers a wide range of topics in anaesthesia, critical care medicine, pain medicine, and perioperative medicine. It aims to disseminate high-impact original research, spanning fundamental, translational, and clinical sciences, as well as clinical practice, technology, education, and training. Additionally, the journal features review articles, notable case reports, correspondence, and special articles that appeal to a broader audience.
The BJA is proudly associated with The Royal College of Anaesthetists, The College of Anaesthesiologists of Ireland, and The Hong Kong College of Anaesthesiologists. This partnership provides members of these esteemed institutions with access to not only the BJA but also its sister publication, BJA Education. It is essential to note that both journals maintain their editorial independence.
Overall, the BJA offers a diverse and comprehensive platform for anaesthetists, critical care physicians, pain specialists, and perioperative medicine practitioners to contribute and stay updated with the latest advancements in their respective fields.