Ageing-aware trading with Li-ion battery storage: Trade-off between short-term market profits and long-term degradation

Mirko Ledro , Jan Martin Zepter , Morten Paludan , Osazee Edo Idehen , Mattia Marinelli
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Abstract

With the growing popularity of grid-connected battery energy storage systems (BESSs), their operators seek a deeper understanding of the link between trading strategies and asset degradation to consolidate their business case (BC). Therefore, this paper proposes a techno-economic framework to link ageing-aware trading strategies with an empirical ageing model of a Li-ion BESS used for state-of-health (SOH) estimation. An unbounded trading strategy is compared with strategies accounting for BESS ageing through constraints or cost-of-use (COU) in the objective function. Additionally, this article derives the weights for the COU, which depend on multiple stress factors affecting the calendar and cycle degradation of the ageing model. The subject of investigation is a 20 MW/10.85 MWh BESS traded in the 30-min DA market in the UK. The decision-making is based on a three-day rolling horizon optimisation model, repeated over a year. Finally, the BC of the BESS is evaluated by combining market profits along the lifetime until the EOL criterion is reached. The BC analysis provides information on which ageing-aware trading strategy achieves the highest annualised net present value (NPV). The numerical results suggest that trading with COU in the objective function outperforms the other strategies, and including a COU per cycle results in an increase of up to 21% of annualised NPV compared to an unbounded strategy. Furthermore, deriving a COU from installation or replacement costs leads to a non-optimal annualised NPV. Finally, the analysis highlights the importance of using the annualised NPV to compare results from BESS projects of different lifetimes.

Abstract Image

锂离子电池存储的老化感知交易:短期市场利润与长期退化之间的权衡
随着并网电池储能系统(BESSs)的日益普及,运营商寻求更深入地了解交易策略与资产退化之间的联系,以巩固其业务案例(BC)。因此,本文提出了一个技术经济框架,将老龄化意识交易策略与用于健康状态(SOH)估计的锂离子电池的经验老龄化模型联系起来。通过目标函数中的约束或使用成本(cost-of-use, COU),将无界交易策略与考虑BESS老化的策略进行比较。此外,本文还导出了COU的权重,该权重取决于影响老化模型日历和周期退化的多个应力因素。调查对象是在英国30分钟DA市场交易的20兆瓦/10.85兆瓦时BESS。决策是基于一个为期三天的滚动地平线优化模型,在一年内重复进行。最后,结合整个生命周期的市场利润来评估BESS的BC,直到达到EOL标准。BC分析提供了有关哪些具有老龄化意识的交易策略能够实现最高的年化净现值(NPV)的信息。数值结果表明,在目标函数中使用COU进行交易优于其他策略,并且与无边界策略相比,每个周期包含一个COU可使年化NPV增加高达21%。此外,从安装或更换成本中得出COU会导致非最佳年化NPV。最后,分析强调了使用年化净现值来比较不同生命周期BESS项目结果的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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