A Self-Correction Transformer Network for Traffic Flow Prediction Under Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Distributions

IF 2.3 4区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC
Jingru Sun, Ziyu Qiu, Yichuang Sun, Oluyomi Simpson
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Abstract

Precise and timely traffic flow prediction plays a critical role in developing intelligent transportation systems and has attracted considerable attention in recent decades. The traffic flow has a non-stationary character in both time and space, when the drift phenomenon appears, the traffic flow undergoes significant and sudden changes, bringing the challenge to the prediction. This paper proposed a self-supervised learning-based adaptive spatiotemporal self-correction transformer traffic flow prediction network (SCTNet). SCTNet can feel the drift with self-supervised learning, compute distribution features of the test data, obtain the distribution difference signal, feed it into the model as network correction information, and then adjust the spatiotemporal dependence of traffic flow adaptively to enhance prediction accuracy. The self-supervised learning method can adjust the model quickly and smoothly, and be utilized in most existing traffic flow prediction models. The experiments demonstrate that compared to existing models, the proposed self-supervised learning SCTNet has achieved state-of-the-art performance and exhibited strong adaptability to the dynamically changing spatiotemporal distributions of traffic data.

Abstract Image

动态时空分布下的自校正变压器网络交通流预测
准确、及时的交通流预测在智能交通系统的发展中起着至关重要的作用,近几十年来引起了人们的广泛关注。交通流在时间和空间上都具有非平稳性,当发生漂移现象时,交通流会发生显著而突然的变化,给预测带来挑战。提出了一种基于自监督学习的自适应时空自校正变压器交通流预测网络(SCTNet)。SCTNet通过自监督学习感知漂移,计算测试数据的分布特征,获取分布差信号,作为网络校正信息输入模型,自适应调整交通流的时空依赖性,提高预测精度。自监督学习方法可以快速、平稳地调整模型,在大多数现有的交通流预测模型中得到了应用。实验结果表明,与现有模型相比,本文提出的自监督学习SCTNet模型具有较好的性能,对动态变化的交通数据时空分布具有较强的适应性。
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来源期刊
IET Intelligent Transport Systems
IET Intelligent Transport Systems 工程技术-运输科技
CiteScore
6.50
自引率
7.40%
发文量
159
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: IET Intelligent Transport Systems is an interdisciplinary journal devoted to research into the practical applications of ITS and infrastructures. The scope of the journal includes the following: Sustainable traffic solutions Deployments with enabling technologies Pervasive monitoring Applications; demonstrations and evaluation Economic and behavioural analyses of ITS services and scenario Data Integration and analytics Information collection and processing; image processing applications in ITS ITS aspects of electric vehicles Autonomous vehicles; connected vehicle systems; In-vehicle ITS, safety and vulnerable road user aspects Mobility as a service systems Traffic management and control Public transport systems technologies Fleet and public transport logistics Emergency and incident management Demand management and electronic payment systems Traffic related air pollution management Policy and institutional issues Interoperability, standards and architectures Funding scenarios Enforcement Human machine interaction Education, training and outreach Current Special Issue Call for papers: Intelligent Transportation Systems in Smart Cities for Sustainable Environment - https://digital-library.theiet.org/files/IET_ITS_CFP_ITSSCSE.pdf Sustainably Intelligent Mobility (SIM) - https://digital-library.theiet.org/files/IET_ITS_CFP_SIM.pdf Traffic Theory and Modelling in the Era of Artificial Intelligence and Big Data (in collaboration with World Congress for Transport Research, WCTR 2019) - https://digital-library.theiet.org/files/IET_ITS_CFP_WCTR.pdf
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