Analysis of congestion key parameters, dynamic discharge process, and capacity estimation at urban freeway bottlenecks: a case study in Beijing, China

Abstract

Recurring bottlenecks significantly contribute to urban freeway congestion, making their analysis essential. This study examines six bottlenecks on Beijing’s Ring Road using multi-day data, identifying them via Dynamic Time Warping and Fuzzy C-Means Clustering (DTW+FCM). Key parameters—free-flow speed, critical speed, critical density, and jam density—are calibrated using fundamental diagram models. The Weibull distribution analyzes flow and speed patterns during congestion phases. The DTW+FCM method effectively identified bottlenecks and congestion levels. Severe congestion lasting over 10 hours on the West Second and Third Ring Roads averaged speeds of 15 km/h. The S3 model best fits data for the West Ring Roads, while the Van Aerde model suits the North Ring Roads. Different methods yield varying traffic capacity estimates, highlighting the need for nuanced approaches in urban expressway planning to maintain traffic quality and comfort. These findings offer valuable guidance for research and practical traffic management solutions.