A Physics-Guided Bayesian Neural Network for Sensor Fault Detection in Wind Turbines

MD Azam Khan;Arifur Rahman;Farhad Uddin Mahmud;Kanchon Kumar Bishnu;Hadiur Rahman Nabil;M. F. Mridha;Md. Jakir Hossen
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Abstract

Predictive maintenance is essential for ensuring the reliability and efficiency of wind energy systems. Traditional deep learning models for sensor fault detection rely solely on data-driven patterns, often lacking interpretability and robustness. This article proposes a Physics-Guided Bayesian Neural Network (PINN-BNN) model that integrates physics-informed learning with Bayesian inference to improve fault detection in wind turbines. The proposed approach enforces domain-specific constraints to ensure physically consistent predictions while quantifying uncertainty for risk-aware decision-making. The model is evaluated using a real-world wind turbine sensor dataset, achieving an accuracy of 97.6%, a recall of 91.8%, and an AUC-ROC of 0.987. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis reveals that gearbox temperature, blade vibration, and generator torque are the most critical features influencing failure predictions. Bayesian uncertainty estimation further improves interpretability by assigning confidence levels to each prediction. A comparative study with ten baseline models, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Transformer-based models, and traditional machine learning classifiers, demonstrates that the PINN-BNN model outperforms existing approaches while maintaining computational efficiency with a training time of 39.8 minutes and an inference time of 1.7 ms per sample. The integration of physics-informed learning ensures that the model generalizes well to varying environmental conditions, reducing false negatives and minimizing unexpected system failures. The proposed methodology presents a step toward interpretable and reliable predictive maintenance in wind energy systems.
基于物理指导的贝叶斯神经网络的风力发电机传感器故障检测
预测性维护对于确保风能系统的可靠性和效率至关重要。用于传感器故障检测的传统深度学习模型仅依赖于数据驱动模式,通常缺乏可解释性和鲁棒性。本文提出了一种物理引导的贝叶斯神经网络(PINN-BNN)模型,该模型将物理信息学习与贝叶斯推理相结合,以改善风力涡轮机的故障检测。提出的方法在量化风险意识决策的不确定性的同时,强制实施特定领域的约束,以确保物理上一致的预测。该模型使用真实的风力涡轮机传感器数据集进行评估,准确率为97.6%,召回率为91.8%,AUC-ROC为0.987。SHapley加性解释(SHAP)分析表明,齿轮箱温度、叶片振动和发电机扭矩是影响故障预测的最关键特征。贝叶斯不确定性估计通过为每个预测分配置信水平进一步提高了可解释性。通过与包括长短期记忆(LSTM)、基于transformer的模型和传统机器学习分类器在内的10种基准模型的比较研究表明,PINN-BNN模型在保持计算效率的同时优于现有方法,训练时间为39.8分钟,每个样本的推理时间为1.7 ms。物理信息学习的集成确保了模型可以很好地推广到不同的环境条件,减少误报并最大限度地减少意外系统故障。提出的方法向风能系统中可解释和可靠的预测性维护迈出了一步。
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CiteScore
12.60
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