Deep Learning Quantile Regression for Interval-Valued Data Prediction

IF 3.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Huiyuan Wang, Ruiyuan Cao
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Interval-valued data are a special symbolic data, which contains rich information. The prediction of interval-valued data is a challenging task. In terms of predicting interval-valued data, machine learning algorithms typically consider mean regression, which is sensitive to outliers and may lead to unreliable results. As an important complement to mean regression, in this paper, a quantile regression artificial neural network based on a center and radius method (QRANN-CR) is proposed to address this problem. Numerical studies have been conducted to evaluate the proposed method, comparing with several traditional models, including the interval-valued quantile regression, the center method, the MinMax method, and the bivariate center and radius method. The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed QRANN-CR model is an effective tool for predicting interval-valued data with higher accuracy and is more robust than the other methods. A real data analysis is provided to illustrate the application of QRANN-CR.

区间值数据预测的深度学习分位数回归
区间值数据是一种特殊的符号数据,它包含了丰富的信息。区间值数据的预测是一项具有挑战性的任务。在预测区间值数据方面,机器学习算法通常考虑均值回归,均值回归对异常值敏感,可能导致不可靠的结果。作为均值回归的重要补充,本文提出了一种基于中心半径法的分位数回归人工神经网络(QRANN-CR)来解决这一问题。通过与区间值分位数回归、中心法、最小最大值法、二元中心和半径法等几种传统模型的比较,对该方法进行了数值研究。仿真结果表明,所提出的QRANN-CR模型是预测区间值数据的有效工具,具有较高的精度和鲁棒性。通过实际数据分析,说明了QRANN-CR的应用。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.40
自引率
5.90%
发文量
91
期刊介绍: The Journal of Forecasting is an international journal that publishes refereed papers on forecasting. It is multidisciplinary, welcoming papers dealing with any aspect of forecasting: theoretical, practical, computational and methodological. A broad interpretation of the topic is taken with approaches from various subject areas, such as statistics, economics, psychology, systems engineering and social sciences, all encouraged. Furthermore, the Journal welcomes a wide diversity of applications in such fields as business, government, technology and the environment. Of particular interest are papers dealing with modelling issues and the relationship of forecasting systems to decision-making processes.
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