{"title":"Stock Price Forecasting With Integration of Sectoral Behavior: A Deep Auto-Optimized Multimodal Framework","authors":"Renu Saraswat, Ajit Kumar","doi":"10.1002/for.3265","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div>\n \n <p>This study proposes a novel deep auto-optimized architecture for stock price forecasting that integrates sectoral behavior with individual stock sentiment to improve predictive accuracy. Traditional stock prediction models often focus solely on individual stock behavior, overlooking the impact of broader sectoral trends. The proposed approach utilizes advanced deep learning models, including gated recurrent units (GRU), bidirectional GRU, long short-term memory (LSTM), and bidirectional LSTM, with their hybrid ensembles. These models are built using the Keras functional API and auto ML network architecture search technology. The current deep auto-optimized multimodal framework incorporates sectoral behavior, significantly improving performance metrics. This research highlights the critical role of integrating sectoral behavior in stock price prediction models.</p>\n </div>","PeriodicalId":47835,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forecasting","volume":"44 5","pages":"1767-1784"},"PeriodicalIF":3.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Forecasting","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/for.3265","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This study proposes a novel deep auto-optimized architecture for stock price forecasting that integrates sectoral behavior with individual stock sentiment to improve predictive accuracy. Traditional stock prediction models often focus solely on individual stock behavior, overlooking the impact of broader sectoral trends. The proposed approach utilizes advanced deep learning models, including gated recurrent units (GRU), bidirectional GRU, long short-term memory (LSTM), and bidirectional LSTM, with their hybrid ensembles. These models are built using the Keras functional API and auto ML network architecture search technology. The current deep auto-optimized multimodal framework incorporates sectoral behavior, significantly improving performance metrics. This research highlights the critical role of integrating sectoral behavior in stock price prediction models.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Forecasting is an international journal that publishes refereed papers on forecasting. It is multidisciplinary, welcoming papers dealing with any aspect of forecasting: theoretical, practical, computational and methodological. A broad interpretation of the topic is taken with approaches from various subject areas, such as statistics, economics, psychology, systems engineering and social sciences, all encouraged. Furthermore, the Journal welcomes a wide diversity of applications in such fields as business, government, technology and the environment. Of particular interest are papers dealing with modelling issues and the relationship of forecasting systems to decision-making processes.