The Effects of COVID-19 and JobKeeper on Productivity-Enhancing Reallocation in Australia1

IF 1.2 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS
Dan Andrews, Elif Bahar, Jonathan Hambur
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The consequences of the pandemic for potential output will partly hinge on its impact on productivity-enhancing reallocation. While recessions can accelerate this process, the more ‘random’ nature of the COVID-19 shock coupled with policy responses that prioritised preservation could disrupt productivity-enhancing reallocation. Our analysis based on novel high-frequency employment data for Australia shows that labour reallocation (and firm exit) remained connected to firm productivity over 2020 and 2021. However, outside of the initial acute phase of the shock, the relationship weakened significantly compared to history. Australia's job retention scheme (JobKeeper) initially reinforced the connection between growth and productivity, supporting more productive firms. But it became more distortive over time and as the economy recovered.

2019冠状病毒病和JobKeeper对澳大利亚生产力再分配的影响
大流行对潜在产出的影响将部分取决于其对提高生产力的再分配的影响。虽然经济衰退可以加速这一进程,但COVID-19冲击的更“随机”性质,加上优先考虑保护的政策应对措施,可能会破坏提高生产率的再分配。我们基于澳大利亚新颖的高频就业数据进行的分析表明,2020年和2021年,劳动力再分配(和企业退出)仍与企业生产率有关。然而,在休克的初始急性期之外,与历史相比,这种关系明显减弱。澳大利亚的工作保留计划(JobKeeper)最初加强了增长与生产率之间的联系,支持了生产率更高的公司。但随着时间的推移和经济的复苏,它变得更加扭曲。
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来源期刊
Economic Record
Economic Record ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
16.70%
发文量
51
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Economic Society of Australia, the Economic Record is intended to act as a vehicle for the communication of advances in knowledge and understanding in economics. It publishes papers in the theoretical, applied and policy areas of economics and provides a forum for research on the Australian economy. It also publishes surveys in economics and book reviews to facilitate the dissemination of knowledge.
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