Spatiotemporal analysis of dengue fever in tourist destinations using a Time-Lagged DCCAC approach

IF 2.1 Q3 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH

Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Epidemiology Pub Date : 2025-06-19 DOI:10.1016/j.sste.2025.100730

Jéssica B. Oliveira , Thiago B. Murari , Hernane B. de B. Pereira , Marcelo A. Moret , Claudia Andrea L. Cardoso

{"title":"Spatiotemporal analysis of dengue fever in tourist destinations using a Time-Lagged DCCAC approach","authors":"Jéssica B. Oliveira , Thiago B. Murari , Hernane B. de B. Pereira , Marcelo A. Moret , Claudia Andrea L. Cardoso","doi":"10.1016/j.sste.2025.100730","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background:</h3><div>Dengue is one of the most important neglected tropical diseases in the world and is spread rapidly through human movement, especially throughout intermunicipal, national and international routes. The Pantanal is the largest wetland in the world and is a UNESCO World Heritage Site spanning the states of Mato Grosso do Sul and Mato Grosso. In addition, the Pantanal of Mato Grosso do Sul is an important tourist hub.</div></div><div><h3>Methods:</h3><div>This study addresses the spread of dengue in different regions, focusing on the Pantanal of Mato Grosso do Sul. The objective of our study is to evaluate the spread of dengue, using the time-lagged Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis Coefficient (DCCAC) method to provide data that will help in discussions of protocols to combat dengue in the region.</div></div><div><h3>Results:</h3><div>Through the time-lagged DCCAC, it was possible to identify similar behaviors in the lagged DCCAC comovements in different regions, including Bolivia and Paraguay and states in Brazil, such as Mato Grosso do Sul, Mato Grosso and others.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion:</h3><div>This study suggests the importance of cooperation between these regions to fight the disease in an integrated way and share information about the behavior of dengue cases in each area. Implementing a shared system across a network formed by these regions can effectively combat dengue and allow the regions to work together to identify and address the factors that affect the behavior of dengue cases.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":46645,"journal":{"name":"Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Epidemiology","volume":"54 ","pages":"Article 100730"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Epidemiology","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1877584525000218","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background:

Dengue is one of the most important neglected tropical diseases in the world and is spread rapidly through human movement, especially throughout intermunicipal, national and international routes. The Pantanal is the largest wetland in the world and is a UNESCO World Heritage Site spanning the states of Mato Grosso do Sul and Mato Grosso. In addition, the Pantanal of Mato Grosso do Sul is an important tourist hub.

Methods:

This study addresses the spread of dengue in different regions, focusing on the Pantanal of Mato Grosso do Sul. The objective of our study is to evaluate the spread of dengue, using the time-lagged Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis Coefficient (DCCAC) method to provide data that will help in discussions of protocols to combat dengue in the region.

Results:

Through the time-lagged DCCAC, it was possible to identify similar behaviors in the lagged DCCAC comovements in different regions, including Bolivia and Paraguay and states in Brazil, such as Mato Grosso do Sul, Mato Grosso and others.

Conclusion:

This study suggests the importance of cooperation between these regions to fight the disease in an integrated way and share information about the behavior of dengue cases in each area. Implementing a shared system across a network formed by these regions can effectively combat dengue and allow the regions to work together to identify and address the factors that affect the behavior of dengue cases.

查看原文本刊更多论文

基于时滞DCCAC方法的旅游目的地登革热时空分析

背景：登革热是世界上最重要的被忽视的热带病之一，通过人类活动，特别是通过城市间、国家和国际途径迅速传播。潘塔纳尔湿地是世界上最大的湿地，是联合国教科文组织世界遗产，横跨南马托格罗索州和马托格罗索州。此外，南马托格罗索州的潘塔纳尔也是一个重要的旅游中心。方法：本研究以南马托格罗索州潘塔纳尔为研究对象，探讨登革热在不同地区的传播情况。本研究的目的是评估登革热的传播情况，利用时滞去趋势相互关联分析系数（DCCAC）方法提供数据，帮助讨论该地区防治登革热的方案。结果：通过时间滞后的DCCAC，可以识别不同地区（包括玻利维亚和巴拉圭）和巴西州（如南马托格罗索州、马托格罗索州等）滞后的DCCAC运动中的相似行为。结论：本研究提示各地区应加强合作，以综合方式防治登革热，并共享各地区登革热病例行为信息。在由这些地区组成的网络中实施共享系统可以有效地防治登革热，并使这些地区能够共同努力，确定和处理影响登革热病例行为的因素。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

求助全文

约1分钟内获得全文求助全文

来源期刊

Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Epidemiology PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-

CiteScore

5.10

自引率

8.80%

发文量