{"title":"Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio Predicts Overall Survival in Patients With HCC Treated With Durvalumab Plus Tremelimumab.","authors":"Tomomitsu Matono, Toshifumi Tada, Takashi Kumada, Atsushi Hiraoka, Masashi Hirooka, Kazuya Kariyama, Joji Tani, Masanori Atsukawa, Koichi Takaguchi, Ei Itobayashi, Shinya Fukunishi, Hiroki Nishikawa, Kazunari Tanaka, Kunihiko Tsuji, Toru Ishikawa, Kazuto Tajiri, Yuichi Koshiyama, Hidenori Toyoda, Chikara Ogawa, Takeshi Hatanaka, Satoru Kakizaki, Kazuhito Kawata, Hideko Ohama, Fujimasa Tada, Kazuhiro Nouso, Asahiro Morishita, Akemi Tsutsui, Takuya Nagano, Norio Itokawa, Tomomi Okubo, Taeang Arai, Takashi Nishimura, Michitaka Imai, Hisashi Kosaka, Atsushi Naganuma, Tomoko Aoki, Hidekatsu Kuroda, Yutaka Yata, Hideyuki Tamai, Takanori Matsuura, Shohei Komatsu, Yoshihide Ueda, Yoshiko Nakamura, Osamu Yoshida, Shinichiro Nakamura, Hirayuki Enomoto, Masaki Kaibori, Takumi Fukumoto, Yoichi Hiasa, Masatoshi Kudo","doi":"10.1111/hepr.14224","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aim: </strong>To investigate the prognostic impact of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) on outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with durvalumab plus tremelimumab (Dur/Tre).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A total of 182 patients with HCC who received Dur/Tre were included in the analysis. Univariate and multivariate survival analyses were conducted. Additionally, hazard ratio (HR) spline curve analysis was used to determine the optimal NLR cut-off values for predicting overall survival (OS).</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The median progression-free survival (PFS) was 3.5 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.7-4.4), whereas the median OS was not reached (95% CI: 12.1 months-not reached). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that treatment with Dur/Tre as a second-line therapy or beyond was independently associated with worse PFS (HR: 1.819; 95% CI: 1.230-2.688; p = 0.003). Furthermore, an NLR of ≥ 2.56 was identified as an independent predictor of reduced OS (HR: 1.919; 95% CI: 1.033-3.566; p = 0.039). The median OS was not reached (95% CI: 12.3 months-not reached) in patients with an NLR of < 2.56, compared with 12.1 months (95% CI: 9.0 months-not reached) in those with an NLR of ≥ 2.56 (p = 0.016). A Sankey diagram illustrating post-treatment outcomes revealed that a significantly larger proportion of patients with high NLRs did not proceed to subsequent therapies but instead received best supportive care (p = 0.046). Spline curve analysis showed that an NLR range of approximately 2.3-3.0 represents an appropriate cut-off for predicting OS.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The NLR is a significant prognostic biomarker for OS in patients with HCC treated with Dur/Tre.</p>","PeriodicalId":12987,"journal":{"name":"Hepatology Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Hepatology Research","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/hepr.14224","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Aim: To investigate the prognostic impact of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) on outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with durvalumab plus tremelimumab (Dur/Tre).
Methods: A total of 182 patients with HCC who received Dur/Tre were included in the analysis. Univariate and multivariate survival analyses were conducted. Additionally, hazard ratio (HR) spline curve analysis was used to determine the optimal NLR cut-off values for predicting overall survival (OS).
Results: The median progression-free survival (PFS) was 3.5 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.7-4.4), whereas the median OS was not reached (95% CI: 12.1 months-not reached). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that treatment with Dur/Tre as a second-line therapy or beyond was independently associated with worse PFS (HR: 1.819; 95% CI: 1.230-2.688; p = 0.003). Furthermore, an NLR of ≥ 2.56 was identified as an independent predictor of reduced OS (HR: 1.919; 95% CI: 1.033-3.566; p = 0.039). The median OS was not reached (95% CI: 12.3 months-not reached) in patients with an NLR of < 2.56, compared with 12.1 months (95% CI: 9.0 months-not reached) in those with an NLR of ≥ 2.56 (p = 0.016). A Sankey diagram illustrating post-treatment outcomes revealed that a significantly larger proportion of patients with high NLRs did not proceed to subsequent therapies but instead received best supportive care (p = 0.046). Spline curve analysis showed that an NLR range of approximately 2.3-3.0 represents an appropriate cut-off for predicting OS.
Conclusions: The NLR is a significant prognostic biomarker for OS in patients with HCC treated with Dur/Tre.
期刊介绍:
Hepatology Research (formerly International Hepatology Communications) is the official journal of the Japan Society of Hepatology, and publishes original articles, reviews and short comunications dealing with hepatology. Reviews or mini-reviews are especially welcomed from those areas within hepatology undergoing rapid changes. Short communications should contain concise definitive information.