{"title":"Do mortgage lenders offload climate-exposed loans to government-sponsored enterprises?","authors":"Eszter Baranyai","doi":"10.1016/j.frl.2025.107749","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We investigate whether US residential mortgage lenders respond to climate change projections by offloading climate-exposed loans to government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) which largely overlook global warming risks in their framework. Using difference-in-differences estimators we find that both banks and independent mortgage companies sold a higher proportion of loans to GSEs in areas most exposed to climate risks – based on our climate change indicator encompassing risks of extreme heat, drought and flood. This trend has been evident since 2013 but intensified after 2016, when granular climate projections became publicly available. In highly exposed areas only, GSE securitisation rates are inversely related to flood insurance coverage, suggesting one may act as a substitute for the other. While increased awareness of climate risks is a favourable development, the potential transfer of risk to the public sector and possible cross-subsidisation – where lower-risk areas bear costs for higher-risk regions – warrant policy attention.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12167,"journal":{"name":"Finance Research Letters","volume":"84 ","pages":"Article 107749"},"PeriodicalIF":7.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Finance Research Letters","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612325010074","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
We investigate whether US residential mortgage lenders respond to climate change projections by offloading climate-exposed loans to government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) which largely overlook global warming risks in their framework. Using difference-in-differences estimators we find that both banks and independent mortgage companies sold a higher proportion of loans to GSEs in areas most exposed to climate risks – based on our climate change indicator encompassing risks of extreme heat, drought and flood. This trend has been evident since 2013 but intensified after 2016, when granular climate projections became publicly available. In highly exposed areas only, GSE securitisation rates are inversely related to flood insurance coverage, suggesting one may act as a substitute for the other. While increased awareness of climate risks is a favourable development, the potential transfer of risk to the public sector and possible cross-subsidisation – where lower-risk areas bear costs for higher-risk regions – warrant policy attention.
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